Recent monthly CPI prints, including a July 2026 reading of 0.5% that fell short of expectations, have reinforced trader views that subdued domestic demand and persistent food-price softness will keep the full-year average within the 0.6–1.0% band. Weak consumption, abundant pork supply, and softer non-food categories such as transport have offset modest gains elsewhere, while producer-price trends and global energy easing have limited upside pressure. Official growth targets near 4.5–5% and an inflation goal of around 2% have not yet translated into stronger price momentum, aligning with analyst forecasts clustered near 0.8–1.2%. These conditions have positioned the narrow positive range as the clear consensus outcome ahead of additional data releases through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 55%
0.1 – 0.5% 19.6%
1.1 – 1.5% 9%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$72,977 Vol.
$72,977 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
20%
0.6 – 1.0%
55%
1.1 – 1.5%
9%
1.6 – 2.0%
5%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 55%
0.1 – 0.5% 19.6%
1.1 – 1.5% 9%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$72,977 Vol.
$72,977 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,736 Vol.
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Vol.
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$4,871 Vol.
20%
0.6 – 1.0%
$8,990 Vol.
55%
1.1 – 1.5%
$13,777 Vol.
9%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,462 Vol.
5%
2.0-2.4%
$7,874 Vol.
5%
2.5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI prints, including a July 2026 reading of 0.5% that fell short of expectations, have reinforced trader views that subdued domestic demand and persistent food-price softness will keep the full-year average within the 0.6–1.0% band. Weak consumption, abundant pork supply, and softer non-food categories such as transport have offset modest gains elsewhere, while producer-price trends and global energy easing have limited upside pressure. Official growth targets near 4.5–5% and an inflation goal of around 2% have not yet translated into stronger price momentum, aligning with analyst forecasts clustered near 0.8–1.2%. These conditions have positioned the narrow positive range as the clear consensus outcome ahead of additional data releases through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$72,977End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI prints, including a July 2026 reading of 0.5% that fell short of expectations, have reinforced trader views that subdued domestic demand and persistent food-price softness will keep the full-year average within the 0.6–1.0% band. Weak consumption, abundant pork supply, and softer non-food categories such as transport have offset modest gains elsewhere, while producer-price trends and global energy easing have limited upside pressure. Official growth targets near 4.5–5% and an inflation goal of around 2% have not yet translated into stronger price momentum, aligning with analyst forecasts clustered near 0.8–1.2%. These conditions have positioned the narrow positive range as the clear consensus outcome ahead of additional data releases through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$72,977End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI prints, including a July 2026 reading of 0.5% that fell short of expectations, have reinforced trader views that subdued domestic demand and persistent food-price softness will keep the full-year average within the 0.6–1.0% band. Weak consumption, abundant pork supply, and softer non-food categories such as transport have offset modest gains elsewhere, while producer-price trends and global energy easing have limited upside pressure. Official growth targets near 4.5–5% and an inflation goal of around 2% have not yet translated into stronger price momentum, aligning with analyst forecasts clustered near 0.8–1.2%. These conditions have positioned the narrow positive range as the clear consensus outcome ahead of additional data releases through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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