Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats and Moderates locked in the top three spots, leaving a tight contest for fourth place among the Left Party, Christian Democrats, Centre Party and Greens. Latest surveys place these four parties within roughly one point of each other at 6–7.5 percent, with minor week-to-week movements capable of reordering them. The Liberals’ consistent readings below the four-percent threshold have little direct bearing on fourth place but underscore bloc-level volatility. With roughly one month remaining, scheduled debates and any late shifts in turnout among smaller-party voters remain the main variables that could separate the contenders in final seat projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLeft Party (V) 37%
Christian Democrats (KD) 29%
Centre Party (C) 20%
Green Party (MP) 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Left Party (V)
37%
Christian Democrats (KD)
29%
Centre Party (C)
20%
Green Party (MP)
16%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
8%
Liberals (L)
2%
Moderate Party (M)
2%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Left Party (V) 37%
Christian Democrats (KD) 29%
Centre Party (C) 20%
Green Party (MP) 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Left Party (V)
$0 Vol.
37%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$192 Vol.
29%
Centre Party (C)
$25 Vol.
20%
Green Party (MP)
$67 Vol.
16%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$48 Vol.
8%
Liberals (L)
$81 Vol.
2%
Moderate Party (M)
$81 Vol.
2%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$66 Vol.
2%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$88 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats and Moderates locked in the top three spots, leaving a tight contest for fourth place among the Left Party, Christian Democrats, Centre Party and Greens. Latest surveys place these four parties within roughly one point of each other at 6–7.5 percent, with minor week-to-week movements capable of reordering them. The Liberals’ consistent readings below the four-percent threshold have little direct bearing on fourth place but underscore bloc-level volatility. With roughly one month remaining, scheduled debates and any late shifts in turnout among smaller-party voters remain the main variables that could separate the contenders in final seat projections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ET
Volume
$456End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats and Moderates locked in the top three spots, leaving a tight contest for fourth place among the Left Party, Christian Democrats, Centre Party and Greens. Latest surveys place these four parties within roughly one point of each other at 6–7.5 percent, with minor week-to-week movements capable of reordering them. The Liberals’ consistent readings below the four-percent threshold have little direct bearing on fourth place but underscore bloc-level volatility. With roughly one month remaining, scheduled debates and any late shifts in turnout among smaller-party voters remain the main variables that could separate the contenders in final seat projections.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$456End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats and Moderates locked in the top three spots, leaving a tight contest for fourth place among the Left Party, Christian Democrats, Centre Party and Greens. Latest surveys place these four parties within roughly one point of each other at 6–7.5 percent, with minor week-to-week movements capable of reordering them. The Liberals’ consistent readings below the four-percent threshold have little direct bearing on fourth place but underscore bloc-level volatility. With roughly one month remaining, scheduled debates and any late shifts in turnout among smaller-party voters remain the main variables that could separate the contenders in final seat projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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