Quebec’s October 5 general election features a competitive multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois leading recent polls amid voter concerns over healthcare, living costs, and U.S. trade tensions. The race follows the August call under a new 127-riding map and involves roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, with advance polls and registration updates already underway. Historical provincial turnout has hovered near 66 percent in recent cycles, and the current fragmented field plus early mobilization efforts support trader consensus around the 66-70 percent range as the most probable outcome. Lower or higher brackets reflect uncertainty over whether campaign intensity and regional dynamics will meaningfully shift participation from baseline levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated70-74% 27%
62-66% 27%
58-62% 26%
74%+ 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
25%
58-62%
26%
62-66%
27%
66-70%
22%
70-74%
27%
74%+
26%
70-74% 27%
62-66% 27%
58-62% 26%
74%+ 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$0 Vol.
25%
58-62%
$0 Vol.
26%
62-66%
$0 Vol.
27%
66-70%
$0 Vol.
22%
70-74%
$0 Vol.
27%
74%+
$0 Vol.
26%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Quebec’s October 5 general election features a competitive multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois leading recent polls amid voter concerns over healthcare, living costs, and U.S. trade tensions. The race follows the August call under a new 127-riding map and involves roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, with advance polls and registration updates already underway. Historical provincial turnout has hovered near 66 percent in recent cycles, and the current fragmented field plus early mobilization efforts support trader consensus around the 66-70 percent range as the most probable outcome. Lower or higher brackets reflect uncertainty over whether campaign intensity and regional dynamics will meaningfully shift participation from baseline levels.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Quebec’s October 5 general election features a competitive multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois leading recent polls amid voter concerns over healthcare, living costs, and U.S. trade tensions. The race follows the August call under a new 127-riding map and involves roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, with advance polls and registration updates already underway. Historical provincial turnout has hovered near 66 percent in recent cycles, and the current fragmented field plus early mobilization efforts support trader consensus around the 66-70 percent range as the most probable outcome. Lower or higher brackets reflect uncertainty over whether campaign intensity and regional dynamics will meaningfully shift participation from baseline levels.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Quebec’s October 5 general election features a competitive multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois leading recent polls amid voter concerns over healthcare, living costs, and U.S. trade tensions. The race follows the August call under a new 127-riding map and involves roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, with advance polls and registration updates already underway. Historical provincial turnout has hovered near 66 percent in recent cycles, and the current fragmented field plus early mobilization efforts support trader consensus around the 66-70 percent range as the most probable outcome. Lower or higher brackets reflect uncertainty over whether campaign intensity and regional dynamics will meaningfully shift participation from baseline levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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