The Maskinongé riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a tight contest among Coalition Avenir Québec incumbent Simon Allaire, who reversed an earlier retirement decision, Parti Québécois candidate Isabelle Blais, Liberal Nancy Mignault, Québec solidaire’s Simon Piotte, and Conservative Marc-André Cloutier. Provincial polling shows the CAQ and PQ running nearly even, with recent shifts narrowing earlier PQ leads and creating uncertainty in ridings like this one that flipped strongly to the CAQ in 2022. The equal market pricing across contenders reflects vote splitting among multiple parties, limited early polling specific to Maskinongé, and the short campaign window that began August 27, where local turnout dynamics and late provincial momentum could determine the winner. Advance voting begins September 27.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsabelle Blais 50%
Simon Allaire 50%
Marc-André Cloutier 24%
Nancy Mignault 24%

Isabelle Blais
50%

Simon Allaire
50%

Marc-André Cloutier
24%

Nancy Mignault
24%

Simon Piotte
23%
Isabelle Blais 50%
Simon Allaire 50%
Marc-André Cloutier 24%
Nancy Mignault 24%

Isabelle Blais
50%

Simon Allaire
50%

Marc-André Cloutier
24%

Nancy Mignault
24%

Simon Piotte
23%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Resolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maskinongé riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a tight contest among Coalition Avenir Québec incumbent Simon Allaire, who reversed an earlier retirement decision, Parti Québécois candidate Isabelle Blais, Liberal Nancy Mignault, Québec solidaire’s Simon Piotte, and Conservative Marc-André Cloutier. Provincial polling shows the CAQ and PQ running nearly even, with recent shifts narrowing earlier PQ leads and creating uncertainty in ridings like this one that flipped strongly to the CAQ in 2022. The equal market pricing across contenders reflects vote splitting among multiple parties, limited early polling specific to Maskinongé, and the short campaign window that began August 27, where local turnout dynamics and late provincial momentum could determine the winner. Advance voting begins September 27.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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