The Louis-Hébert riding in the Quebec City region enters the October 5, 2026, National Assembly election as a tight contest following the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault. New candidates from the CAQ, PQ, Liberal, Conservative, and Québec solidaire parties face off in a district where recent projections show the CAQ and PQ running neck-and-neck amid province-wide polling that places those two parties within a few points of each other. The early stage of the campaign, absence of an incumbent, and shifting voter priorities on housing costs, school capacity, and public services contribute to the balance. Further separation could emerge from regional campaign stops by party leaders, local debates, or shifts in francophone turnout patterns before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLouis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Marc-Antoine Bernier 83%
Richard Bélanger 50%
Anne-Sophie Roy 46%
Marcos Archambault 46%

Marc-Antoine Bernier
83%

Richard Bélanger
50%

Anne-Sophie Roy
46%

Marcos Archambault
46%

Chloé Fauchon
42%
Marc-Antoine Bernier 83%
Richard Bélanger 50%
Anne-Sophie Roy 46%
Marcos Archambault 46%

Marc-Antoine Bernier
83%

Richard Bélanger
50%

Anne-Sophie Roy
46%

Marcos Archambault
46%

Chloé Fauchon
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Resolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Louis-Hébert riding in the Quebec City region enters the October 5, 2026, National Assembly election as a tight contest following the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault. New candidates from the CAQ, PQ, Liberal, Conservative, and Québec solidaire parties face off in a district where recent projections show the CAQ and PQ running neck-and-neck amid province-wide polling that places those two parties within a few points of each other. The early stage of the campaign, absence of an incumbent, and shifting voter priorities on housing costs, school capacity, and public services contribute to the balance. Further separation could emerge from regional campaign stops by party leaders, local debates, or shifts in francophone turnout patterns before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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