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icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Karine Laflamme 84%

Brittany Blais 47%

Bernard Drainville 42%

Yanick Godbout 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Karine Laflamme 84%

Brittany Blais 47%

Bernard Drainville 42%

Yanick Godbout 25%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Karine Laflamme

Karine Laflamme

$0 Vol.

84%

icon for Brittany Blais

Brittany Blais

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Yanick Godbout

Yanick Godbout

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Lévis riding, the Quebec general election on October 5, 2026, features a closely contested race among incumbent Bernard Drainville of the Coalition avenir Québec, Karine Laflamme of the Conservative Party of Quebec, Yanick Godbout of the Parti Québécois, Brittany Blais of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé of Québec solidaire. Trader consensus reflects the riding's status as a toss-up, driven by provincial shifts where the CAQ has lost ground since 2022 while Conservatives and the PQ have strengthened in the Chaudière-Appalaches region. Key local factors include debates over infrastructure such as the third link project, east-west traffic solutions, public transit options like a proposed tramway, and ongoing needs for healthcare and education facilities. The recent writ drop and early campaign positioning have kept probabilities tight, with no single party establishing a decisive edge in recent seat projections. Developments such as further polling on voter priorities, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial party standings could widen the gap ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Lévis riding, the Quebec general election on October 5, 2026, features a closely contested race among incumbent Bernard Drainville of the Coalition avenir Québec, Karine Laflamme of the Conservative Party of Quebec, Yanick Godbout of the Parti Québécois, Brittany Blais of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé of Québec solidaire. Trader consensus reflects the riding's status as a toss-up, driven by provincial shifts where the CAQ has lost ground since 2022 while Conservatives and the PQ have strengthened in the Chaudière-Appalaches region. Key local factors include debates over infrastructure such as the third link project, east-west traffic solutions, public transit options like a proposed tramway, and ongoing needs for healthcare and education facilities. The recent writ drop and early campaign positioning have kept probabilities tight, with no single party establishing a decisive edge in recent seat projections. Developments such as further polling on voter priorities, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial party standings could widen the gap ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Karine Laflamme" at 42%, followed by "Bernard Drainville" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Karine Laflamme" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernard Drainville" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.