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icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Vincent Marissal 43%

Étienne Grandmont 43%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 25%

Farnell Morisset 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Vincent Marissal 43%

Étienne Grandmont 43%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 25%

Farnell Morisset 24%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Vincent Marissal

Vincent Marissal

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Étienne Grandmont

Étienne Grandmont

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Eliot Estévez-Verville

Eliot Estévez-Verville

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Farnell Morisset

Farnell Morisset

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Taschereau riding in Quebec City features a crowded field ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with Québec solidaire incumbent Étienne Grandmont facing Liberal Farnell Morisset, CAQ candidate Brigitte Martin, Conservative Eliot Estévez-Verville, and PQ nominee Christian Savard. The race remains closely contested after the Parti québécois abruptly replaced Vincent Marissal—announced days before the writ—with Savard following an ethics controversy over Marissal’s use of a National Assembly housing allowance. Early projections show QS holding a narrow edge in a riding that has shifted among left-leaning parties in recent cycles, while the abbreviated campaign timeline and multiple viable contenders limit any single candidate’s separation in trader assessments. Scheduled nomination deadlines and ongoing party organization efforts through mid-September could still influence positioning before voting.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Taschereau riding in Quebec City features a crowded field ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with Québec solidaire incumbent Étienne Grandmont facing Liberal Farnell Morisset, CAQ candidate Brigitte Martin, Conservative Eliot Estévez-Verville, and PQ nominee Christian Savard. The race remains closely contested after the Parti québécois abruptly replaced Vincent Marissal—announced days before the writ—with Savard following an ethics controversy over Marissal’s use of a National Assembly housing allowance. Early projections show QS holding a narrow edge in a riding that has shifted among left-leaning parties in recent cycles, while the abbreviated campaign timeline and multiple viable contenders limit any single candidate’s separation in trader assessments. Scheduled nomination deadlines and ongoing party organization efforts through mid-September could still influence positioning before voting.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vincent Marissal" at 43%, followed by "Étienne Grandmont" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Vincent Marissal" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Étienne Grandmont" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.