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Elections·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 83%

David Trone 16%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$11,941 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 83%

David Trone 16%

Kiambo White <1%

George Gluck <1%

Polymarket

$11,941 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$2,059 Vol.

83%

David Trone

$1,746 Vol.

16%

Kiambo White

$2,284 Vol.

1%

George Gluck

$1,421 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Krakower

$1,126 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,157 Vol.

<1%

Alexis Goldstein

$998 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, backed by consistent polling leads of 11–17 points over former Rep. David Trone. Recent surveys from Hart Research show her maintaining 49% support amid Trone’s multimillion-dollar self-funded ad campaign, which has included attacks on her record. Negative exchanges over immigration enforcement and campaign spending have intensified in the final weeks, yet Delaney’s incumbency and approval ratings near 80% have kept her favored by trader consensus. Minor candidates remain far behind with limited visibility or resources. The race centers on whether Trone’s financial resources can overcome Delaney’s established voter base before primary ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,941
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, backed by consistent polling leads of 11–17 points over former Rep. David Trone. Recent surveys from Hart Research show her maintaining 49% support amid Trone’s multimillion-dollar self-funded ad campaign, which has included attacks on her record. Negative exchanges over immigration enforcement and campaign spending have intensified in the final weeks, yet Delaney’s incumbency and approval ratings near 80% have kept her favored by trader consensus. Minor candidates remain far behind with limited visibility or resources. The race centers on whether Trone’s financial resources can overcome Delaney’s established voter base before primary ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,941
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April McClain Delaney" at 83%, followed by "David Trone" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $11.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "April McClain Delaney" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Trone" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.