**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 8 under transitioning clear to partly cloudy skies following recent light rain.** This outcome sits at the center of tightly clustered market-implied odds because overnight radiative cooling will be moderated by residual humidity from the South China Sea and urban heat retention, preventing deeper drops while still allowing temperatures to reach the mid-20s after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Subtropical monsoon influences and light northeast winds are expected to limit further cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C. Key variables that could shift the exact minimum include final model runs on cloud cover and any unexpected wind shifts, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the end of the 24-hour period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
22°C or below
35%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
33%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
20%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
30%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
35%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 8 under transitioning clear to partly cloudy skies following recent light rain.** This outcome sits at the center of tightly clustered market-implied odds because overnight radiative cooling will be moderated by residual humidity from the South China Sea and urban heat retention, preventing deeper drops while still allowing temperatures to reach the mid-20s after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Subtropical monsoon influences and light northeast winds are expected to limit further cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C. Key variables that could shift the exact minimum include final model runs on cloud cover and any unexpected wind shifts, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the end of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 8 under transitioning clear to partly cloudy skies following recent light rain.** This outcome sits at the center of tightly clustered market-implied odds because overnight radiative cooling will be moderated by residual humidity from the South China Sea and urban heat retention, preventing deeper drops while still allowing temperatures to reach the mid-20s after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Subtropical monsoon influences and light northeast winds are expected to limit further cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C. Key variables that could shift the exact minimum include final model runs on cloud cover and any unexpected wind shifts, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the end of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 8 under transitioning clear to partly cloudy skies following recent light rain.** This outcome sits at the center of tightly clustered market-implied odds because overnight radiative cooling will be moderated by residual humidity from the South China Sea and urban heat retention, preventing deeper drops while still allowing temperatures to reach the mid-20s after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Subtropical monsoon influences and light northeast winds are expected to limit further cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C. Key variables that could shift the exact minimum include final model runs on cloud cover and any unexpected wind shifts, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the end of the 24-hour period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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