Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies on August 18, supporting overnight minimum temperatures near 20°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows typically range 15–18°C but current model runs indicate milder conditions without significant cooling advection. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 20°C reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-term forecast window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid radiational cooling under clearer skies, though both appear low-probability given the consensus guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
20°C 97%
19°C 4%
18°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 97%
19°C 4%
18°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$728 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,517 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,356 Vol.
4%
20°C
$906 Vol.
97%
21°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$966 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies on August 18, supporting overnight minimum temperatures near 20°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows typically range 15–18°C but current model runs indicate milder conditions without significant cooling advection. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 20°C reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-term forecast window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid radiational cooling under clearer skies, though both appear low-probability given the consensus guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$8,756End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies on August 18, supporting overnight minimum temperatures near 20°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows typically range 15–18°C but current model runs indicate milder conditions without significant cooling advection. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 20°C reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-term forecast window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid radiational cooling under clearer skies, though both appear low-probability given the consensus guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,756End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies on August 18, supporting overnight minimum temperatures near 20°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows typically range 15–18°C but current model runs indicate milder conditions without significant cooling advection. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 20°C reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-term forecast window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid radiational cooling under clearer skies, though both appear low-probability given the consensus guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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