**Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and international sources converge on a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 25–26°C.** High humidity near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light variable winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling typical of clearer post-monsoon nights. Recent observations from Lucknow-Army station and nearby sites show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s°C amid scattered thundershowers and moist southwesterly flow. This setup reduces the likelihood of drops to 24°C or below, while warmer outcomes above 27°C appear unlikely given daytime maxima around 32–35°C and evening stabilization. Updated model runs and official minimum readings through the night will provide the final resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
26°C 54%
25°C 51%
24°C 24%
23°C 18%
$538 Vol.
$538 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
<1%
23°C
18%
24°C
24%
25°C
51%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 51%
24°C 24%
23°C 18%
$538 Vol.
$538 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$16 Vol.
4%
22°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$2 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
51%
26°C
$259 Vol.
54%
27°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and international sources converge on a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 25–26°C.** High humidity near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light variable winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling typical of clearer post-monsoon nights. Recent observations from Lucknow-Army station and nearby sites show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s°C amid scattered thundershowers and moist southwesterly flow. This setup reduces the likelihood of drops to 24°C or below, while warmer outcomes above 27°C appear unlikely given daytime maxima around 32–35°C and evening stabilization. Updated model runs and official minimum readings through the night will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$538End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and international sources converge on a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 25–26°C.** High humidity near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light variable winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling typical of clearer post-monsoon nights. Recent observations from Lucknow-Army station and nearby sites show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s°C amid scattered thundershowers and moist southwesterly flow. This setup reduces the likelihood of drops to 24°C or below, while warmer outcomes above 27°C appear unlikely given daytime maxima around 32–35°C and evening stabilization. Updated model runs and official minimum readings through the night will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$538End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and international sources converge on a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 25–26°C.** High humidity near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light variable winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling typical of clearer post-monsoon nights. Recent observations from Lucknow-Army station and nearby sites show overnight lows holding in the mid-20s°C amid scattered thundershowers and moist southwesterly flow. This setup reduces the likelihood of drops to 24°C or below, while warmer outcomes above 27°C appear unlikely given daytime maxima around 32–35°C and evening stabilization. Updated model runs and official minimum readings through the night will provide the final resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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