**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Lucknow today, reflecting alignment across multiple forecast models and observational data as of mid-September 18.** Current conditions show partly cloudy skies with light winds and humidity near 70-80%, supporting afternoon peaks near 31°C (88°F) per sources like WeatherBug and Met Office guidance, consistent with typical late-monsoon September averages of 32-34°C but tempered by scattered drizzle potential. This near-certainty stems from stable steering patterns and limited intensification factors in regional models. A shift could occur only if unforecasted clear skies or urban heat effects push readings to 32°C or higher before sunset, though latest hourly trends and agency updates make significant deviation improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$28,009 Vol.
$28,009 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$28,009 Vol.
$28,009 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Lucknow today, reflecting alignment across multiple forecast models and observational data as of mid-September 18.** Current conditions show partly cloudy skies with light winds and humidity near 70-80%, supporting afternoon peaks near 31°C (88°F) per sources like WeatherBug and Met Office guidance, consistent with typical late-monsoon September averages of 32-34°C but tempered by scattered drizzle potential. This near-certainty stems from stable steering patterns and limited intensification factors in regional models. A shift could occur only if unforecasted clear skies or urban heat effects push readings to 32°C or higher before sunset, though latest hourly trends and agency updates make significant deviation improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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