Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 8 will likely reach 34–36°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses amid an extended late-summer heat pattern across Iberia. This aligns with observed regional anomalies, including Spain’s 45.7°C reading earlier in the week, though Madrid’s elevation and urban heat island effects moderate extremes compared to southern valleys. Climatological baselines for early September average near 28°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 37°C in the city; current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and minimal precipitation risk, supporting trader consensus around the 35–36°C outcomes ahead of final forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on September 8?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 8?
35°C 53%
36°C 35%
34°C 11%
37°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
11%
35°C
53%
36°C
35%
37°C
7%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 53%
36°C 35%
34°C 11%
37°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
31°C or below
$121 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$613 Vol.
11%
35°C
$635 Vol.
53%
36°C
$698 Vol.
35%
37°C
$465 Vol.
7%
38°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$492 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 8 will likely reach 34–36°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses amid an extended late-summer heat pattern across Iberia. This aligns with observed regional anomalies, including Spain’s 45.7°C reading earlier in the week, though Madrid’s elevation and urban heat island effects moderate extremes compared to southern valleys. Climatological baselines for early September average near 28°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 37°C in the city; current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and minimal precipitation risk, supporting trader consensus around the 35–36°C outcomes ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,883End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 8 will likely reach 34–36°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses amid an extended late-summer heat pattern across Iberia. This aligns with observed regional anomalies, including Spain’s 45.7°C reading earlier in the week, though Madrid’s elevation and urban heat island effects moderate extremes compared to southern valleys. Climatological baselines for early September average near 28°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 37°C in the city; current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and minimal precipitation risk, supporting trader consensus around the 35–36°C outcomes ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,883End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 8 will likely reach 34–36°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses amid an extended late-summer heat pattern across Iberia. This aligns with observed regional anomalies, including Spain’s 45.7°C reading earlier in the week, though Madrid’s elevation and urban heat island effects moderate extremes compared to southern valleys. Climatological baselines for early September average near 28°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 37°C in the city; current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and minimal precipitation risk, supporting trader consensus around the 35–36°C outcomes ahead of final forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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