Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models point to a maximum near 32–34°C in Lucknow on August 1 amid active monsoon conditions, with scattered cloud cover and a chance of thundershowers limiting solar heating. These dynamics create tight clustering around the leading brackets, as modest differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but recent upstream rainfall deficits and variable steering flows introduce uncertainty in local insolation and humidity. Traders weigh the latest IMD guidance and satellite trends, which favor values in the low-to-mid 30s while acknowledging that afternoon convection could cap temperatures closer to 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 1?
33°C 33%
32°C 32%
34°C 26%
31°C 4%
$10,313 Vol.
$10,313 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
32%
33°C
34%
34°C
26%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 33%
32°C 32%
34°C 26%
31°C 4%
$10,313 Vol.
$10,313 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
32%
33°C
34%
34°C
26%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Indian Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models point to a maximum near 32–34°C in Lucknow on August 1 amid active monsoon conditions, with scattered cloud cover and a chance of thundershowers limiting solar heating. These dynamics create tight clustering around the leading brackets, as modest differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but recent upstream rainfall deficits and variable steering flows introduce uncertainty in local insolation and humidity. Traders weigh the latest IMD guidance and satellite trends, which favor values in the low-to-mid 30s while acknowledging that afternoon convection could cap temperatures closer to 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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