Forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models indicate a high near 78–80°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 13, 2026, supported by a strengthening marine layer that produces morning low clouds and fog before southwest winds promote partial afternoon clearing. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 78–79°F bin, reflecting typical early-September coastal moderation after a recent warm spell that pushed prior daily maxima above 90°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s and only modest upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected; traders appear to be pricing the historical September average high of roughly 76°F against the current pattern’s slight warm bias.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13?
78-79°F 58%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 5%
NEW
$15,849 Vol.
NEW
$15,849 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
58%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 58%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 5%
NEW
$15,849 Vol.
NEW
$15,849 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
$693 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$596 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$620 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$348 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$360 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$3,021 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$3,883 Vol.
58%
80-81°F
$3,630 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$1,170 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$628 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$900 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models indicate a high near 78–80°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 13, 2026, supported by a strengthening marine layer that produces morning low clouds and fog before southwest winds promote partial afternoon clearing. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 78–79°F bin, reflecting typical early-September coastal moderation after a recent warm spell that pushed prior daily maxima above 90°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s and only modest upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected; traders appear to be pricing the historical September average high of roughly 76°F against the current pattern’s slight warm bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,849End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models indicate a high near 78–80°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 13, 2026, supported by a strengthening marine layer that produces morning low clouds and fog before southwest winds promote partial afternoon clearing. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 78–79°F bin, reflecting typical early-September coastal moderation after a recent warm spell that pushed prior daily maxima above 90°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s and only modest upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected; traders appear to be pricing the historical September average high of roughly 76°F against the current pattern’s slight warm bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,849End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models indicate a high near 78–80°F at Los Angeles International Airport on September 13, 2026, supported by a strengthening marine layer that produces morning low clouds and fog before southwest winds promote partial afternoon clearing. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 78–79°F bin, reflecting typical early-September coastal moderation after a recent warm spell that pushed prior daily maxima above 90°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s and only modest upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected; traders appear to be pricing the historical September average high of roughly 76°F against the current pattern’s slight warm bias.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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