Mid-August monsoon conditions in coastal Karachi, including persistent moisture, cloud cover, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, continue to moderate daytime heating and position 32°C as the leading outcome at 70% implied probability. Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global model runs show ongoing humid, partly cloudy patterns with possible light showers that suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal peaks, aligning with historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observations indicate no major departures from this baseline, though clearer skies could allow modest warming toward 33°C (12.5%). The low probabilities on extremes reflect limited variability in short-range forecasts, with resolution depending on official maximum readings for the city. Traders are monitoring the latest model updates as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 12%
30°C 1.9%
NEW
$12,633 Vol.
NEW
$12,633 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
70%
33°C
12%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 12%
30°C 1.9%
NEW
$12,633 Vol.
NEW
$12,633 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$349 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,418 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,595 Vol.
18%
32°C
$4,491 Vol.
70%
33°C
$1,820 Vol.
12%
34°C
$1,167 Vol.
1%
35°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-August monsoon conditions in coastal Karachi, including persistent moisture, cloud cover, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, continue to moderate daytime heating and position 32°C as the leading outcome at 70% implied probability. Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global model runs show ongoing humid, partly cloudy patterns with possible light showers that suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal peaks, aligning with historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observations indicate no major departures from this baseline, though clearer skies could allow modest warming toward 33°C (12.5%). The low probabilities on extremes reflect limited variability in short-range forecasts, with resolution depending on official maximum readings for the city. Traders are monitoring the latest model updates as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$12,633End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-August monsoon conditions in coastal Karachi, including persistent moisture, cloud cover, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, continue to moderate daytime heating and position 32°C as the leading outcome at 70% implied probability. Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global model runs show ongoing humid, partly cloudy patterns with possible light showers that suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal peaks, aligning with historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observations indicate no major departures from this baseline, though clearer skies could allow modest warming toward 33°C (12.5%). The low probabilities on extremes reflect limited variability in short-range forecasts, with resolution depending on official maximum readings for the city. Traders are monitoring the latest model updates as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,633End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mid-August monsoon conditions in coastal Karachi, including persistent moisture, cloud cover, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, continue to moderate daytime heating and position 32°C as the leading outcome at 70% implied probability. Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global model runs show ongoing humid, partly cloudy patterns with possible light showers that suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal peaks, aligning with historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observations indicate no major departures from this baseline, though clearer skies could allow modest warming toward 33°C (12.5%). The low probabilities on extremes reflect limited variability in short-range forecasts, with resolution depending on official maximum readings for the city. Traders are monitoring the latest model updates as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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