The southwest monsoon’s moisture influx and associated cloud cover are positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 1, with market-implied odds reflecting short-range model consensus for modest day-to-day variability around the long-term August mean of 31–32°C. High humidity and potential scattered rainfall further suppress peak heating by limiting insolation, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department note only limited departures from climatology in southern Sindh. Forecast runs continue to cluster daily maxima between 33–35°C, keeping higher thresholds like 36°C or above at low implied probability absent a clear break in monsoon flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 1?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 1?
34°C 44%
35°C 37%
33°C 12%
36°C 6%
NEW
$31,799 Vol.
NEW
$31,799 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
12%
34°C
44%
35°C
37%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 44%
35°C 37%
33°C 12%
36°C 6%
NEW
$31,799 Vol.
NEW
$31,799 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$4,691 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,799 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$655 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$777 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,988 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,330 Vol.
12%
34°C
$4,092 Vol.
44%
35°C
$3,308 Vol.
37%
36°C
$4,975 Vol.
6%
37°C
$2,197 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$988 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon’s moisture influx and associated cloud cover are positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 1, with market-implied odds reflecting short-range model consensus for modest day-to-day variability around the long-term August mean of 31–32°C. High humidity and potential scattered rainfall further suppress peak heating by limiting insolation, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department note only limited departures from climatology in southern Sindh. Forecast runs continue to cluster daily maxima between 33–35°C, keeping higher thresholds like 36°C or above at low implied probability absent a clear break in monsoon flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$31,799End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon’s moisture influx and associated cloud cover are positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 1, with market-implied odds reflecting short-range model consensus for modest day-to-day variability around the long-term August mean of 31–32°C. High humidity and potential scattered rainfall further suppress peak heating by limiting insolation, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department note only limited departures from climatology in southern Sindh. Forecast runs continue to cluster daily maxima between 33–35°C, keeping higher thresholds like 36°C or above at low implied probability absent a clear break in monsoon flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,799End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon’s moisture influx and associated cloud cover are positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 1, with market-implied odds reflecting short-range model consensus for modest day-to-day variability around the long-term August mean of 31–32°C. High humidity and potential scattered rainfall further suppress peak heating by limiting insolation, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department note only limited departures from climatology in southern Sindh. Forecast runs continue to cluster daily maxima between 33–35°C, keeping higher thresholds like 36°C or above at low implied probability absent a clear break in monsoon flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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