Forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC place Jeddah’s August 17 maximum at 38–41 °C, aligning with the market’s near-certain 41 °C outcome and typical August climatology of strong solar heating plus Red Sea humidity under light northerly flow. Model consensus and historical baselines around 38–40 °C support this tight range, with traders viewing real-capital odds as reflecting high-confidence guidance from official agencies. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized sea-breeze effects could still produce a 39 °C or 42 °C reading, though current model runs show little divergence on the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 17?
41°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$39,469 Vol.
$39,469 Vol.
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$39,469 Vol.
$39,469 Vol.
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC place Jeddah’s August 17 maximum at 38–41 °C, aligning with the market’s near-certain 41 °C outcome and typical August climatology of strong solar heating plus Red Sea humidity under light northerly flow. Model consensus and historical baselines around 38–40 °C support this tight range, with traders viewing real-capital odds as reflecting high-confidence guidance from official agencies. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized sea-breeze effects could still produce a 39 °C or 42 °C reading, though current model runs show little divergence on the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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