The market's near-certain pricing on the 96-97°F bin reflects the official National Weather Service climatological summary for Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the resolution station, recording a daily maximum of 96°F on August 17, 2026. Persistent subtropical high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly flow supported strong daytime heating during an ongoing regional heat wave, consistent with NWS forecasts and ensemble guidance that converged on peaks near 97°F. Historical August normals at the site hover around 94°F, placing this reading modestly above average but within typical late-summer variability. Only a post hoc data revision or use of an alternate station could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 17?
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$38,106 Vol.
$38,106 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$38,106 Vol.
$38,106 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
89°F or below
$341 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$530 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,233 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$7,450 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$10,462 Vol.
100%
98-99°F
$12,293 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,721 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$285 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$290 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on the 96-97°F bin reflects the official National Weather Service climatological summary for Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the resolution station, recording a daily maximum of 96°F on August 17, 2026. Persistent subtropical high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly flow supported strong daytime heating during an ongoing regional heat wave, consistent with NWS forecasts and ensemble guidance that converged on peaks near 97°F. Historical August normals at the site hover around 94°F, placing this reading modestly above average but within typical late-summer variability. Only a post hoc data revision or use of an alternate station could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$38,106End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on the 96-97°F bin reflects the official National Weather Service climatological summary for Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the resolution station, recording a daily maximum of 96°F on August 17, 2026. Persistent subtropical high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly flow supported strong daytime heating during an ongoing regional heat wave, consistent with NWS forecasts and ensemble guidance that converged on peaks near 97°F. Historical August normals at the site hover around 94°F, placing this reading modestly above average but within typical late-summer variability. Only a post hoc data revision or use of an alternate station could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,106End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain pricing on the 96-97°F bin reflects the official National Weather Service climatological summary for Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the resolution station, recording a daily maximum of 96°F on August 17, 2026. Persistent subtropical high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly flow supported strong daytime heating during an ongoing regional heat wave, consistent with NWS forecasts and ensemble guidance that converged on peaks near 97°F. Historical August normals at the site hover around 94°F, placing this reading modestly above average but within typical late-summer variability. Only a post hoc data revision or use of an alternate station could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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