Current official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C for Helsinki on August 1, with hourly peaks projected around 15:00 local time under mostly overcast skies and light winds. This aligns with typical early-August conditions but sits slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 19–20°C. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C, likely incorporates model uncertainty, potential localized warming, or station-specific measurement differences, while lower odds for 25°C or above account for limited intensification potential. Stable atmospheric patterns and minimal precipitation risk support these outcomes, with any late-day updates from monitoring agencies capable of shifting resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 1?
23°C 46%
24°C 35%
22°C 13%
25°C 7%
$17,367 Vol.
$17,367 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
46%
24°C
35%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 46%
24°C 35%
22°C 13%
25°C 7%
$17,367 Vol.
$17,367 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
46%
24°C
35%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C for Helsinki on August 1, with hourly peaks projected around 15:00 local time under mostly overcast skies and light winds. This aligns with typical early-August conditions but sits slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 19–20°C. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C, likely incorporates model uncertainty, potential localized warming, or station-specific measurement differences, while lower odds for 25°C or above account for limited intensification potential. Stable atmospheric patterns and minimal precipitation risk support these outcomes, with any late-day updates from monitoring agencies capable of shifting resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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