**Trader consensus centers on a 23–24°C peak for Cape Town on September 5, reflecting model consensus for a clear, sunny spring day.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Wunderground project afternoon highs of 21–24°C (roughly 70–75°F) under high pressure, with southeast winds of 15–30 km/h limiting further warming while clear skies allow strong solar heating. This aligns with typical early-spring conditions in the region, where Atlantic moderation and dry air produce modest daily ranges. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the absence of cloud cover or precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 23–25°C; any upward revision would require unexpected subsidence or reduced wind speeds, while cooler outcomes would need stronger onshore flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 5?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 5?
24°C 50%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
$16,175 Vol.
$16,175 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
32%
24°C
50%
25°C
13%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
$16,175 Vol.
$16,175 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$713 Vol.
1%
21°C
$650 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,458 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,618 Vol.
32%
24°C
$2,901 Vol.
50%
25°C
$2,364 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,034 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,034 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,717 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,335 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 23–24°C peak for Cape Town on September 5, reflecting model consensus for a clear, sunny spring day.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Wunderground project afternoon highs of 21–24°C (roughly 70–75°F) under high pressure, with southeast winds of 15–30 km/h limiting further warming while clear skies allow strong solar heating. This aligns with typical early-spring conditions in the region, where Atlantic moderation and dry air produce modest daily ranges. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the absence of cloud cover or precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 23–25°C; any upward revision would require unexpected subsidence or reduced wind speeds, while cooler outcomes would need stronger onshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$16,175End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 23–24°C peak for Cape Town on September 5, reflecting model consensus for a clear, sunny spring day.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Wunderground project afternoon highs of 21–24°C (roughly 70–75°F) under high pressure, with southeast winds of 15–30 km/h limiting further warming while clear skies allow strong solar heating. This aligns with typical early-spring conditions in the region, where Atlantic moderation and dry air produce modest daily ranges. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the absence of cloud cover or precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 23–25°C; any upward revision would require unexpected subsidence or reduced wind speeds, while cooler outcomes would need stronger onshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,175End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 23–24°C peak for Cape Town on September 5, reflecting model consensus for a clear, sunny spring day.** Multiple forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Wunderground project afternoon highs of 21–24°C (roughly 70–75°F) under high pressure, with southeast winds of 15–30 km/h limiting further warming while clear skies allow strong solar heating. This aligns with typical early-spring conditions in the region, where Atlantic moderation and dry air produce modest daily ranges. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the absence of cloud cover or precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 23–25°C; any upward revision would require unexpected subsidence or reduced wind speeds, while cooler outcomes would need stronger onshore flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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