Trader consensus on the 100–101°F outcome for Austin’s July 31 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting midsummer conditions typical for central Texas, where July averages hover near 100–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Recent verification data and guidance consistently favored the warmer side of normal without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and observed heat indices that can exceed actual air temperatures due to humidity. A stronger-than-expected cold front or widespread convection could have lowered the daily maximum, though such developments remained unlikely given the stable subtropical ridge pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on July 31?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 31?
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$51,435 Vol.
$51,435 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$51,435 Vol.
$51,435 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
91°F or below
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,804 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$11,446 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$11,685 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$10,270 Vol.
100%
102-103°F
$8,044 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$1,281 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$744 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$561 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 100–101°F outcome for Austin’s July 31 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting midsummer conditions typical for central Texas, where July averages hover near 100–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Recent verification data and guidance consistently favored the warmer side of normal without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and observed heat indices that can exceed actual air temperatures due to humidity. A stronger-than-expected cold front or widespread convection could have lowered the daily maximum, though such developments remained unlikely given the stable subtropical ridge pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$51,435End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 100–101°F outcome for Austin’s July 31 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting midsummer conditions typical for central Texas, where July averages hover near 100–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Recent verification data and guidance consistently favored the warmer side of normal without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and observed heat indices that can exceed actual air temperatures due to humidity. A stronger-than-expected cold front or widespread convection could have lowered the daily maximum, though such developments remained unlikely given the stable subtropical ridge pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,435End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 100–101°F outcome for Austin’s July 31 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting midsummer conditions typical for central Texas, where July averages hover near 100–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Recent verification data and guidance consistently favored the warmer side of normal without significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and observed heat indices that can exceed actual air temperatures due to humidity. A stronger-than-expected cold front or widespread convection could have lowered the daily maximum, though such developments remained unlikely given the stable subtropical ridge pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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