Current forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum of 34–35°C in Ankara on August 7 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating over the Anatolian plateau. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent regional heat and low soil moisture have sustained elevated readings without significant cooling advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential for slight under-forecasting, while the smaller probability attached to 35°C accounts for uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any afternoon peak. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 7?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 7?
33°C 56%
34°C 37%
35°C 5%
32°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
56%
34°C
37%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 37%
35°C 5%
32°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
30°C or below
$380 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$479 Vol.
1%
32°C
$525 Vol.
4%
33°C
$2,205 Vol.
56%
34°C
$1,397 Vol.
37%
35°C
$724 Vol.
5%
36°C
$353 Vol.
1%
37°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum of 34–35°C in Ankara on August 7 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating over the Anatolian plateau. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent regional heat and low soil moisture have sustained elevated readings without significant cooling advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential for slight under-forecasting, while the smaller probability attached to 35°C accounts for uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any afternoon peak. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,452End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum of 34–35°C in Ankara on August 7 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating over the Anatolian plateau. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent regional heat and low soil moisture have sustained elevated readings without significant cooling advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential for slight under-forecasting, while the smaller probability attached to 35°C accounts for uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any afternoon peak. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,452End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum of 34–35°C in Ankara on August 7 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating over the Anatolian plateau. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent regional heat and low soil moisture have sustained elevated readings without significant cooling advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential for slight under-forecasting, while the smaller probability attached to 35°C accounts for uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any afternoon peak. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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