Current H200 on-demand rental rates cluster around a $3.70–$4.50 median on specialist clouds such as Lambda, RunPod, and Vast.ai, with hyperscalers still higher and spot tiers lower. Trader consensus favoring the $4.00–$4.50 bucket reflects stabilization after the sharp May 2026 price declines triggered by accelerating Blackwell B200 deployments that began displacing some Hopper training workloads. Offsetting this downward pressure is durable inference demand for memory-intensive applications—long-context serving and large-batch inference—which leverages the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e bandwidth advantage and sustains a premium floor. Persistent capacity tightness, with many clusters pre-booked through fall, further limits downside risk through October. Key swing factors include the pace of additional B200 supply releases and any late-summer contract renewals or demand spikes that could shift the narrow spread between sub-$4.00 and the current leading range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 41%
$5.50+ 35%
<$3.50 34%
$4.50-$5.00 24%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$3.50
34%
$3.50-$4.00
16%
$4.00-$4.50
41%
$4.50-$5.00
24%
$5.00-$5.50
30%
$5.50+
35%
$4.00-$4.50 41%
$5.50+ 35%
<$3.50 34%
$4.50-$5.00 24%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$3.50
$20 Vol.
34%
$3.50-$4.00
$20 Vol.
16%
$4.00-$4.50
$236 Vol.
41%
$4.50-$5.00
$370 Vol.
24%
$5.00-$5.50
$20 Vol.
30%
$5.50+
$20 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Current H200 on-demand rental rates cluster around a $3.70–$4.50 median on specialist clouds such as Lambda, RunPod, and Vast.ai, with hyperscalers still higher and spot tiers lower. Trader consensus favoring the $4.00–$4.50 bucket reflects stabilization after the sharp May 2026 price declines triggered by accelerating Blackwell B200 deployments that began displacing some Hopper training workloads. Offsetting this downward pressure is durable inference demand for memory-intensive applications—long-context serving and large-batch inference—which leverages the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e bandwidth advantage and sustains a premium floor. Persistent capacity tightness, with many clusters pre-booked through fall, further limits downside risk through October. Key swing factors include the pace of additional B200 supply releases and any late-summer contract renewals or demand spikes that could shift the narrow spread between sub-$4.00 and the current leading range.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Volume
$686End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Current H200 on-demand rental rates cluster around a $3.70–$4.50 median on specialist clouds such as Lambda, RunPod, and Vast.ai, with hyperscalers still higher and spot tiers lower. Trader consensus favoring the $4.00–$4.50 bucket reflects stabilization after the sharp May 2026 price declines triggered by accelerating Blackwell B200 deployments that began displacing some Hopper training workloads. Offsetting this downward pressure is durable inference demand for memory-intensive applications—long-context serving and large-batch inference—which leverages the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e bandwidth advantage and sustains a premium floor. Persistent capacity tightness, with many clusters pre-booked through fall, further limits downside risk through October. Key swing factors include the pace of additional B200 supply releases and any late-summer contract renewals or demand spikes that could shift the narrow spread between sub-$4.00 and the current leading range.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$686End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current H200 on-demand rental rates cluster around a $3.70–$4.50 median on specialist clouds such as Lambda, RunPod, and Vast.ai, with hyperscalers still higher and spot tiers lower. Trader consensus favoring the $4.00–$4.50 bucket reflects stabilization after the sharp May 2026 price declines triggered by accelerating Blackwell B200 deployments that began displacing some Hopper training workloads. Offsetting this downward pressure is durable inference demand for memory-intensive applications—long-context serving and large-batch inference—which leverages the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e bandwidth advantage and sustains a premium floor. Persistent capacity tightness, with many clusters pre-booked through fall, further limits downside risk through October. Key swing factors include the pace of additional B200 supply releases and any late-summer contract renewals or demand spikes that could shift the narrow spread between sub-$4.00 and the current leading range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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