Persistent HBM3e memory shortages and TSMC CoWoS packaging constraints continue to limit H200 supply through late 2026, supporting rental rates near the current median of roughly $4.40 per GPU-hour across neocloud providers. Strong hyperscaler demand for inference and memory-intensive workloads helps sustain the premium over H100, while Blackwell B200/GB200 ramps introduce substitution pressure for training jobs and widen pricing spreads. Trader consensus around the $3.50–$5.00 bands reflects uncertainty over how quickly additional capacity and next-generation systems will ease tightness versus sustained AI scaling needs. Power grid and data-center buildout timelines remain key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 18%
$3.50-$4.00 15.5%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 10.8%
$17,257 Vol.
$17,257 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
7%
$2.50-$3.00
5%
$3.00-$3.50
6%
$3.50-$4.00
16%
$4.00-$4.50
18%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
11%
$5.50-$6.00
11%
$6.00-$6.50
6%
$6.50-$7.00
4%
$7.00-$7.50
1%
$7.50+
1%
$4.00-$4.50 18%
$3.50-$4.00 15.5%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 10.8%
$17,257 Vol.
$17,257 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
$512 Vol.
7%
$2.50-$3.00
$692 Vol.
5%
$3.00-$3.50
$649 Vol.
6%
$3.50-$4.00
$2,523 Vol.
16%
$4.00-$4.50
$5,918 Vol.
18%
$4.50-$5.00
$525 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50
$2,176 Vol.
11%
$5.50-$6.00
$2,077 Vol.
11%
$6.00-$6.50
$721 Vol.
6%
$6.50-$7.00
$588 Vol.
4%
$7.00-$7.50
$451 Vol.
1%
$7.50+
$427 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent HBM3e memory shortages and TSMC CoWoS packaging constraints continue to limit H200 supply through late 2026, supporting rental rates near the current median of roughly $4.40 per GPU-hour across neocloud providers. Strong hyperscaler demand for inference and memory-intensive workloads helps sustain the premium over H100, while Blackwell B200/GB200 ramps introduce substitution pressure for training jobs and widen pricing spreads. Trader consensus around the $3.50–$5.00 bands reflects uncertainty over how quickly additional capacity and next-generation systems will ease tightness versus sustained AI scaling needs. Power grid and data-center buildout timelines remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$17,257End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent HBM3e memory shortages and TSMC CoWoS packaging constraints continue to limit H200 supply through late 2026, supporting rental rates near the current median of roughly $4.40 per GPU-hour across neocloud providers. Strong hyperscaler demand for inference and memory-intensive workloads helps sustain the premium over H100, while Blackwell B200/GB200 ramps introduce substitution pressure for training jobs and widen pricing spreads. Trader consensus around the $3.50–$5.00 bands reflects uncertainty over how quickly additional capacity and next-generation systems will ease tightness versus sustained AI scaling needs. Power grid and data-center buildout timelines remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$17,257End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent HBM3e memory shortages and TSMC CoWoS packaging constraints continue to limit H200 supply through late 2026, supporting rental rates near the current median of roughly $4.40 per GPU-hour across neocloud providers. Strong hyperscaler demand for inference and memory-intensive workloads helps sustain the premium over H100, while Blackwell B200/GB200 ramps introduce substitution pressure for training jobs and widen pricing spreads. Trader consensus around the $3.50–$5.00 bands reflects uncertainty over how quickly additional capacity and next-generation systems will ease tightness versus sustained AI scaling needs. Power grid and data-center buildout timelines remain key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions