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icon for #2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?
Tech·Google

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

icon for #2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?
Tech·Google

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

#1

#2

#3

#1

#2

#3

Google 66%

Tencent 26%

DeepSeek 25%

Z.ai 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Google 66%

Tencent 26%

DeepSeek 25%

Z.ai 19%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Google

Google

$70 Vol.

55%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$30 Vol.

26%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$30 Vol.

25%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$157 Vol.

19%

icon for Meta

Meta

$40 Vol.

12%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$30 Vol.

6%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$72 Vol.

5%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$50 Vol.

5%

icon for Qwen

Qwen

$30 Vol.

5%

icon for xAI

xAI

$30 Vol.

5%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$30 Vol.

5%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$51 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.Chinese labs dominate OpenRouter token volume through aggressive pricing and open-weight releases optimized for agentic and coding workloads, leaving the #2 spot after DeepSeek highly fragmented. Recent leaderboards show Tencent’s Hy4 preview, Z.ai’s GLM 5.3 Flash, and Xiaomi’s MiMo models posting strong weekly gains alongside MiniMax and Qwen, while U.S. labs such as Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic trail due to higher per-token costs despite competitive capabilities. This dynamic, accelerated by agent usage now exceeding 70% of platform traffic, produces tight market-implied odds clustered in the low-to-mid 20s for several Chinese providers and single-digit figures for most Western labs.

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.

This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$620
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://openrouter.ai/rankings

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.Chinese labs dominate OpenRouter token volume through aggressive pricing and open-weight releases optimized for agentic and coding workloads, leaving the #2 spot after DeepSeek highly fragmented. Recent leaderboards show Tencent’s Hy4 preview, Z.ai’s GLM 5.3 Flash, and Xiaomi’s MiMo models posting strong weekly gains alongside MiniMax and Qwen, while U.S. labs such as Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic trail due to higher per-token costs despite competitive capabilities. This dynamic, accelerated by agent usage now exceeding 70% of platform traffic, produces tight market-implied odds clustered in the low-to-mid 20s for several Chinese providers and single-digit figures for most Western labs.

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.

This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$620
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://openrouter.ai/rankings

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?

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icon for Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Google" at 55%, followed by "Tencent" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?" is "Google" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tencent" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.