Persistent supply constraints for NVIDIA H200 GPUs, with most new capacity booked through August 2026, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the $5–$6 range. Strong enterprise and memory-intensive AI workloads sustain demand, while hyperscaler on-demand rates often exceed $4–$10 per GPU-hour versus lower neocloud listings around $2.50–$4. Recent Blackwell B200 ramp-up introduces substitution pressure, and scattered reports of modest price softening or expanded availability add downside risk. Traders weigh these offsetting forces—lead times over 40 weeks versus emerging capacity additions—against typical seasonal stability at month-end, producing the tight distribution across $4.50–$6.00 outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5.00-$5.50 38%
$5.50-$6.00 31%
$4.50-$5.00 23%
$4.00-$4.50 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$4.00
6%
$4.00-$4.50
17%
$4.50-$5.00
23%
$5.00-$5.50
31%
$5.50-$6.00
31%
$6.00+
9%
$5.00-$5.50 38%
$5.50-$6.00 31%
$4.50-$5.00 23%
$4.00-$4.50 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$4.00
$128 Vol.
6%
$4.00-$4.50
$128 Vol.
17%
$4.50-$5.00
$128 Vol.
23%
$5.00-$5.50
$148 Vol.
31%
$5.50-$6.00
$727 Vol.
31%
$6.00+
$128 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent supply constraints for NVIDIA H200 GPUs, with most new capacity booked through August 2026, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the $5–$6 range. Strong enterprise and memory-intensive AI workloads sustain demand, while hyperscaler on-demand rates often exceed $4–$10 per GPU-hour versus lower neocloud listings around $2.50–$4. Recent Blackwell B200 ramp-up introduces substitution pressure, and scattered reports of modest price softening or expanded availability add downside risk. Traders weigh these offsetting forces—lead times over 40 weeks versus emerging capacity additions—against typical seasonal stability at month-end, producing the tight distribution across $4.50–$6.00 outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,387End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent supply constraints for NVIDIA H200 GPUs, with most new capacity booked through August 2026, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the $5–$6 range. Strong enterprise and memory-intensive AI workloads sustain demand, while hyperscaler on-demand rates often exceed $4–$10 per GPU-hour versus lower neocloud listings around $2.50–$4. Recent Blackwell B200 ramp-up introduces substitution pressure, and scattered reports of modest price softening or expanded availability add downside risk. Traders weigh these offsetting forces—lead times over 40 weeks versus emerging capacity additions—against typical seasonal stability at month-end, producing the tight distribution across $4.50–$6.00 outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$1,387End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent supply constraints for NVIDIA H200 GPUs, with most new capacity booked through August 2026, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the $5–$6 range. Strong enterprise and memory-intensive AI workloads sustain demand, while hyperscaler on-demand rates often exceed $4–$10 per GPU-hour versus lower neocloud listings around $2.50–$4. Recent Blackwell B200 ramp-up introduces substitution pressure, and scattered reports of modest price softening or expanded availability add downside risk. Traders weigh these offsetting forces—lead times over 40 weeks versus emerging capacity additions—against typical seasonal stability at month-end, producing the tight distribution across $4.50–$6.00 outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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