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Tech·App

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?
Tech·App

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?

Aug 7

Aug 7

Capital One Mobile 48%

TikTok Pro - Events 48%

ChatGPT 44%

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes 34%

Polymarket
NEW

Capital One Mobile 48%

TikTok Pro - Events 48%

ChatGPT 44%

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes 34%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Capital One Mobile

Capital One Mobile

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Threads

Threads

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Atom - Movie Tickets & Times

Atom - Movie Tickets & Times

$0 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The closely matched market-implied odds around 50% for several apps reflect intense uncertainty in daily App Store rankings, where free-app position hinges on short-term download velocity, algorithmic promotion, and external triggers rather than long-term brand strength. Established players like ChatGPT benefit from consistent AI chatbot engagement and feature updates, while Netflix Game Controller and Threads leverage platform ecosystems and social sharing, yet all face volatility from viral marketing or competitor campaigns. TikTok Pro and similar marketplace or ticketing apps trail due to narrower appeal and seasonal usage patterns, with differentiation driven by user acquisition tactics, cross-promotion, and any last-minute announcements ahead of the August 7 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The closely matched market-implied odds around 50% for several apps reflect intense uncertainty in daily App Store rankings, where free-app position hinges on short-term download velocity, algorithmic promotion, and external triggers rather than long-term brand strength. Established players like ChatGPT benefit from consistent AI chatbot engagement and feature updates, while Netflix Game Controller and Threads leverage platform ecosystems and social sharing, yet all face volatility from viral marketing or competitor campaigns. TikTok Pro and similar marketplace or ticketing apps trail due to narrower appeal and seasonal usage patterns, with differentiation driven by user acquisition tactics, cross-promotion, and any last-minute announcements ahead of the August 7 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Capital One Mobile" at 48%, followed by "TikTok Pro - Events" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?" is "Capital One Mobile" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.