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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Aug 4

Aug 4

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 95.8%

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series 2.6%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare 1.5%

The Hawk: Season 1 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 95.8%

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series 2.6%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare 1.5%

The Hawk: Season 1 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ransom Canyon: Season 2

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

$4,873 Vol.

96%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$272 Vol.

3%

icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

$257 Vol.

2%

icon for The Hawk: Season 1

The Hawk: Season 1

$275 Vol.

1%

icon for I Will Find You: Limited Series

I Will Find You: Limited Series

$281 Vol.

1%

icon for Hannibal: Season 1

Hannibal: Season 1

$226 Vol.

1%

icon for The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

$446 Vol.

1%

icon for Elite Force: Season 1

Elite Force: Season 1

$266 Vol.

1%

icon for My Daughter's Father: Season 1

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

$256 Vol.

1%

icon for Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

$311 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Ransom Canyon Season 2's dominant 95.8% implied probability for the #2 US Netflix spot stems from its July 23 premiere and sustained second-week performance as a returning neo-Western romance with broad appeal. The series benefits from established viewership momentum, star power from Josh Duhamel and Minka Kelly, and Netflix's algorithmic promotion during a relatively quiet summer window, outpacing most competitors despite some reported global declines from Season 1. Newer limited series like The Bombing of Pan Am 103, which just debuted July 30, sit at just 2.5% and would need exceptional initial metrics or rapid audience growth to challenge for the position. An upset remains possible if a fresh release surges past it on the weekly chart update or if Ransom Canyon experiences a sharper drop-off.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,463
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Ransom Canyon Season 2's dominant 95.8% implied probability for the #2 US Netflix spot stems from its July 23 premiere and sustained second-week performance as a returning neo-Western romance with broad appeal. The series benefits from established viewership momentum, star power from Josh Duhamel and Minka Kelly, and Netflix's algorithmic promotion during a relatively quiet summer window, outpacing most competitors despite some reported global declines from Season 1. Newer limited series like The Bombing of Pan Am 103, which just debuted July 30, sit at just 2.5% and would need exceptional initial metrics or rapid audience growth to challenge for the position. An upset remains possible if a fresh release surges past it on the weekly chart update or if Ransom Canyon experiences a sharper drop-off.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,463
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" at 96%, followed by "The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.