Skip to main content
icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Aug 4

Aug 4

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare 97.0%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 2.0%

The Hawk: Season 1 <1%

I Will Find You: Limited Series <1%

Polymarket

$46,605 Vol.

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare 97.0%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 2.0%

The Hawk: Season 1 <1%

I Will Find You: Limited Series <1%

Polymarket

$46,605 Vol.

icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

$16,117 Vol.

97%

icon for Ransom Canyon: Season 2

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

$26,059 Vol.

2%

icon for The Hawk: Season 1

The Hawk: Season 1

$921 Vol.

<1%

icon for I Will Find You: Limited Series

I Will Find You: Limited Series

$861 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$843 Vol.

<1%

icon for Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

$861 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elite Force: Season 1

Elite Force: Season 1

$165 Vol.

<1%

icon for My Daughter's Father: Season 1

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

$338 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

$165 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hannibal: Season 1

Hannibal: Season 1

$276 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The recent July 29 premiere of Netflix’s three-part true crime documentary *The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare* has fueled the market’s overwhelming 97.2% consensus around its top ranking this week. The series draws on bodycam footage, family interviews, and fresh details from the high-profile 2022 University of Idaho case, generating immediate viewer interest and strong initial streaming metrics that align with historical patterns for timely true-crime releases. Trader sentiment reflects this momentum while recognizing that sustained dominance depends on weekly viewership data. An upset could occur if a returning season or new original achieves faster viral traction or if the documentary’s audience engagement fades quickly after launch.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$46,605
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The recent July 29 premiere of Netflix’s three-part true crime documentary *The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare* has fueled the market’s overwhelming 97.2% consensus around its top ranking this week. The series draws on bodycam footage, family interviews, and fresh details from the high-profile 2022 University of Idaho case, generating immediate viewer interest and strong initial streaming metrics that align with historical patterns for timely true-crime releases. Trader sentiment reflects this momentum while recognizing that sustained dominance depends on weekly viewership data. An upset could occur if a returning season or new original achieves faster viral traction or if the documentary’s audience engagement fades quickly after launch.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$46,605
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" at 97%, followed by "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" has generated $46.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.