**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened in U.S. theaters on July 31, 2026, after a July 27 premiere, and early tracking plus first-day results have driven strong trader consensus toward a Yes outcome at 76%. Pre-sales exceeded $60 million domestically and $120 million worldwide before release, while international markets posted record first-day hauls, including an all-time high in Mexico that topped Avengers: Endgame. Domestic Friday estimates reached $167 million including previews, positioning the film for a potential $300–400 million-plus domestic weekend that would eclipse Endgame’s $357 million benchmark. Glowing reviews (90% critics, 98% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and sustained franchise appeal from Tom Holland and Zendaya have amplified buzz, with global projections ranging from $425–550 million. The key remaining catalysts are Saturday and Sunday holds plus final reported figures, though current momentum and comparable historical openers favor clearing the threshold absent an unusually sharp drop-off.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
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Aug 2, 2026
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Aug 2, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened in U.S. theaters on July 31, 2026, after a July 27 premiere, and early tracking plus first-day results have driven strong trader consensus toward a Yes outcome at 76%. Pre-sales exceeded $60 million domestically and $120 million worldwide before release, while international markets posted record first-day hauls, including an all-time high in Mexico that topped Avengers: Endgame. Domestic Friday estimates reached $167 million including previews, positioning the film for a potential $300–400 million-plus domestic weekend that would eclipse Endgame’s $357 million benchmark. Glowing reviews (90% critics, 98% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and sustained franchise appeal from Tom Holland and Zendaya have amplified buzz, with global projections ranging from $425–550 million. The key remaining catalysts are Saturday and Sunday holds plus final reported figures, though current momentum and comparable historical openers favor clearing the threshold absent an unusually sharp drop-off.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,630End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened in U.S. theaters on July 31, 2026, after a July 27 premiere, and early tracking plus first-day results have driven strong trader consensus toward a Yes outcome at 76%. Pre-sales exceeded $60 million domestically and $120 million worldwide before release, while international markets posted record first-day hauls, including an all-time high in Mexico that topped Avengers: Endgame. Domestic Friday estimates reached $167 million including previews, positioning the film for a potential $300–400 million-plus domestic weekend that would eclipse Endgame’s $357 million benchmark. Glowing reviews (90% critics, 98% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and sustained franchise appeal from Tom Holland and Zendaya have amplified buzz, with global projections ranging from $425–550 million. The key remaining catalysts are Saturday and Sunday holds plus final reported figures, though current momentum and comparable historical openers favor clearing the threshold absent an unusually sharp drop-off.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$5,630End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened in U.S. theaters on July 31, 2026, after a July 27 premiere, and early tracking plus first-day results have driven strong trader consensus toward a Yes outcome at 76%. Pre-sales exceeded $60 million domestically and $120 million worldwide before release, while international markets posted record first-day hauls, including an all-time high in Mexico that topped Avengers: Endgame. Domestic Friday estimates reached $167 million including previews, positioning the film for a potential $300–400 million-plus domestic weekend that would eclipse Endgame’s $357 million benchmark. Glowing reviews (90% critics, 98% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and sustained franchise appeal from Tom Holland and Zendaya have amplified buzz, with global projections ranging from $425–550 million. The key remaining catalysts are Saturday and Sunday holds plus final reported figures, though current momentum and comparable historical openers favor clearing the threshold absent an unusually sharp drop-off.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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