A Toxic Love Story holds a dominant 97% implied probability as the #2 US Netflix movie this week due to its fresh July 23 release as a gripping true-crime documentary on the Anaheim Craigslist case, which has generated strong audience engagement and critical praise for its rigorous storytelling. True-crime titles routinely drive high viewership on the platform, and early social media discussion around the sensational real-life plot has sustained momentum into early August. Older catalog entries and other recent releases like KPop Demon Hunters face limited competition without comparable current buzz or recency. An upset remains possible if a major new original drops mid-week or if streaming metrics shift dramatically from unexpected audience surges in competing titles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
A Toxic Love Story 95.6%
72 Hours 2.7%
Ordinary Angels 1.5%
KPop Demon Hunters 1.5%
A Toxic Love Story
96%
72 Hours
3%
Ordinary Angels
2%
KPop Demon Hunters
2%
Elize: Shadows of a Woman
1%
Voicemails for Isabelle
1%
A Quiet Place: Day One
1%
Minions
<1%
Sniper: No Nation
<1%
Furious 7
<1%
A Toxic Love Story 95.6%
72 Hours 2.7%
Ordinary Angels 1.5%
KPop Demon Hunters 1.5%
A Toxic Love Story
96%
72 Hours
3%
Ordinary Angels
2%
KPop Demon Hunters
2%
Elize: Shadows of a Woman
1%
Voicemails for Isabelle
1%
A Quiet Place: Day One
1%
Minions
<1%
Sniper: No Nation
<1%
Furious 7
<1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A Toxic Love Story holds a dominant 97% implied probability as the #2 US Netflix movie this week due to its fresh July 23 release as a gripping true-crime documentary on the Anaheim Craigslist case, which has generated strong audience engagement and critical praise for its rigorous storytelling. True-crime titles routinely drive high viewership on the platform, and early social media discussion around the sensational real-life plot has sustained momentum into early August. Older catalog entries and other recent releases like KPop Demon Hunters face limited competition without comparable current buzz or recency. An upset remains possible if a major new original drops mid-week or if streaming metrics shift dramatically from unexpected audience surges in competing titles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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