Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary by a wide margin over challenger Oliver Larkin. As the two-term incumbent who shifted from the neighboring 23rd District following mid-decade redistricting, Moskowitz benefited from strong name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge, and a record of legislative experience at both state and federal levels, including cross-aisle work in Florida government. Larkin, positioned further left on issues such as Medicare for All, mounted a challenge but could not overcome these structural advantages in a district where Democratic primary voters favored the more established candidate. With results already called by major outlets and a roughly 63-37% split reported, trader consensus at 100% reflects the completed vote; only an extraordinary development such as a successful legal contest or certification reversal would alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$107,274 Vol.
$107,274 Vol.

Oliver Larkin
No

Jared Moskowitz
Yes
$107,274 Vol.
$107,274 Vol.

Oliver Larkin
No

Jared Moskowitz
Yes
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary by a wide margin over challenger Oliver Larkin. As the two-term incumbent who shifted from the neighboring 23rd District following mid-decade redistricting, Moskowitz benefited from strong name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge, and a record of legislative experience at both state and federal levels, including cross-aisle work in Florida government. Larkin, positioned further left on issues such as Medicare for All, mounted a challenge but could not overcome these structural advantages in a district where Democratic primary voters favored the more established candidate. With results already called by major outlets and a roughly 63-37% split reported, trader consensus at 100% reflects the completed vote; only an extraordinary development such as a successful legal contest or certification reversal would alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions