Skip to main content
icon for Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Nigerian Governor Election

Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

icon for Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Nigerian Governor Election

Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Abba Kabir Yusuf 57%

Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo 38%

Muhammad Bello Dalhatu 3.0%

Mohammad Raji <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Abba Kabir Yusuf 57%

Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo 38%

Muhammad Bello Dalhatu 3.0%

Mohammad Raji <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Abba Kabir Yusuf

Abba Kabir Yusuf

$1,155 Vol.

57%

icon for Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo

Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo

$1,496 Vol.

38%

icon for Muhammad Bello Dalhatu

Muhammad Bello Dalhatu

$204 Vol.

3%

icon for Mohammad Raji

Mohammad Raji

$336 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Abba Kabir Yusuf's 2026 defection from NNPP to APC and subsequent selection as the party's consensus candidate for the February 2027 Kano governorship have consolidated support among ruling party structures and aligned stakeholders. The contest remains tightly matched among several aspirants, including Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, Muhammad Bello Dalhatu, and Mohammad Raji, because opposition formations stay fragmented, internal party negotiations continue, and major primaries have not concluded. Kano's pattern of shifting alliances and cross-party movements sustains uncertainty, as traders weigh the incumbent's institutional advantages against the potential for late realignments or additional candidacies to influence the outcome.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$3,190
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Abba Kabir Yusuf's 2026 defection from NNPP to APC and subsequent selection as the party's consensus candidate for the February 2027 Kano governorship have consolidated support among ruling party structures and aligned stakeholders. The contest remains tightly matched among several aspirants, including Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, Muhammad Bello Dalhatu, and Mohammad Raji, because opposition formations stay fragmented, internal party negotiations continue, and major primaries have not concluded. Kano's pattern of shifting alliances and cross-party movements sustains uncertainty, as traders weigh the incumbent's institutional advantages against the potential for late realignments or additional candidacies to influence the outcome.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$3,190
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Related

icon for Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?

Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?

84%
icon for Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?

Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?

54%
icon for Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?

Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?

69%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abba Kabir Yusuf" at 57%, followed by "Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is "Abba Kabir Yusuf" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.