Obafemi Hamzat’s 70.5% market price reflects his May 2026 APC primary victory, where he received 657,917 votes against a single challenger after multiple aspirants withdrew and the Governor’s Advisory Council, Governor Sanwo-Olu, and President Tinubu endorsed him as consensus candidate. The APC’s continuous control of Lagos since 1999 and its local government machinery underpin trader consensus on continuity ahead of the February 2027 election. Lower-priced opposition figures, including Sowore Robert at 11% and Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick at 8%, face structural barriers in a state where the ruling party has historically delivered decisive margins; recent endorsements and Hamzat’s public policy statements on housing have reinforced expectations of limited volatility before the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedObafemi Hamzat 71%
Sowore Robert 11%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 8%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline 5%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Obafemi Hamzat
71%
Sowore Robert
11%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
8%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
5%
Adedeji Doherty
4%
Funso Doherty
4%
Naheem Balogun
3%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
3%
Femi Olaniyi
3%
Laja Adeoye
3%
Obafemi Hamzat 71%
Sowore Robert 11%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 8%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline 5%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Obafemi Hamzat
$309 Vol.
71%
Sowore Robert
$80 Vol.
11%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
$74 Vol.
8%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
$71 Vol.
5%
Adedeji Doherty
$71 Vol.
4%
Funso Doherty
$71 Vol.
4%
Naheem Balogun
$71 Vol.
3%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
$71 Vol.
3%
Femi Olaniyi
$71 Vol.
3%
Laja Adeoye
$71 Vol.
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Obafemi Hamzat’s 70.5% market price reflects his May 2026 APC primary victory, where he received 657,917 votes against a single challenger after multiple aspirants withdrew and the Governor’s Advisory Council, Governor Sanwo-Olu, and President Tinubu endorsed him as consensus candidate. The APC’s continuous control of Lagos since 1999 and its local government machinery underpin trader consensus on continuity ahead of the February 2027 election. Lower-priced opposition figures, including Sowore Robert at 11% and Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick at 8%, face structural barriers in a state where the ruling party has historically delivered decisive margins; recent endorsements and Hamzat’s public policy statements on housing have reinforced expectations of limited volatility before the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$958End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Obafemi Hamzat’s 70.5% market price reflects his May 2026 APC primary victory, where he received 657,917 votes against a single challenger after multiple aspirants withdrew and the Governor’s Advisory Council, Governor Sanwo-Olu, and President Tinubu endorsed him as consensus candidate. The APC’s continuous control of Lagos since 1999 and its local government machinery underpin trader consensus on continuity ahead of the February 2027 election. Lower-priced opposition figures, including Sowore Robert at 11% and Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick at 8%, face structural barriers in a state where the ruling party has historically delivered decisive margins; recent endorsements and Hamzat’s public policy statements on housing have reinforced expectations of limited volatility before the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$958End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Obafemi Hamzat’s 70.5% market price reflects his May 2026 APC primary victory, where he received 657,917 votes against a single challenger after multiple aspirants withdrew and the Governor’s Advisory Council, Governor Sanwo-Olu, and President Tinubu endorsed him as consensus candidate. The APC’s continuous control of Lagos since 1999 and its local government machinery underpin trader consensus on continuity ahead of the February 2027 election. Lower-priced opposition figures, including Sowore Robert at 11% and Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick at 8%, face structural barriers in a state where the ruling party has historically delivered decisive margins; recent endorsements and Hamzat’s public policy statements on housing have reinforced expectations of limited volatility before the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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