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Politics·Florida

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Florida

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

Oliver Gilbert 100.0%

Marshall Davis Sr. <1%

Shevrin Jones <1%

Kendrick Meek Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$40,775 Vol.

Oliver Gilbert 100.0%

Marshall Davis Sr. <1%

Shevrin Jones <1%

Kendrick Meek Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$40,775 Vol.

Marshall Davis Sr.

$604 Vol.

No

Oliver Gilbert

$15,607 Vol.

Yes

Shevrin Jones

$19,284 Vol.

No

Kendrick Meek Jr.

$2,492 Vol.

No

Rudy Moise

$1,161 Vol.

No

Jean Monestime

$762 Vol.

No

Roderick Vereen

$866 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Miami-Dade County Commissioner Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida's 24th Congressional District following the August 18 primary, driven by retiring U.S. Rep. Frederica Wilson's endorsement that consolidated support in the heavily Democratic Miami-area seat. His local government record and endorsements from community outlets helped him edge a crowded field that included state Sen. Shevrin Jones and former U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek, with early returns showing a narrow but decisive lead that held as additional ballots were counted. Trader consensus at 100% reflects these confirmed primary results and the district's structural Democratic advantage. Late vote shifts, official certification delays, or successful legal challenges to the tally remain the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome before final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,775
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Miami-Dade County Commissioner Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida's 24th Congressional District following the August 18 primary, driven by retiring U.S. Rep. Frederica Wilson's endorsement that consolidated support in the heavily Democratic Miami-area seat. His local government record and endorsements from community outlets helped him edge a crowded field that included state Sen. Shevrin Jones and former U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek, with early returns showing a narrow but decisive lead that held as additional ballots were counted. Trader consensus at 100% reflects these confirmed primary results and the district's structural Democratic advantage. Late vote shifts, official certification delays, or successful legal challenges to the tally remain the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome before final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,775
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oliver Gilbert" at 100%, followed by "Marshall Davis Sr." at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $40.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Oliver Gilbert" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marshall Davis Sr." at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.