Redistricting that altered Florida’s 20th Congressional District boundaries prompted incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz to enter the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary, drawing opposition from multiple Black candidates who argue the move undermines historic representation in a plurality-Black electorate. Elijah Manley leads challengers in early fundraising and has coordinated with others including Maisha Williams, Dale Holness, and Luther Campbell on potential field consolidation to avoid vote-splitting. Wasserman Schultz holds a financial edge and established donor network, yet local backlash and calls for a single alternative nominee keep the race competitive. Traders price her as the narrow favorite while assigning Manley substantial odds amid these dynamics, with further candidate withdrawals or endorsements likely to shift positioning before primary day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트데비 와서먼 슐츠 66%
Elijah Manley 40%
Rudy Moise 29.3%
Dale Holness 9.8%
데비 와서먼 슐츠
50%
Elijah Manley
40%
Rudy Moise
29%
Dale Holness
10%
Maisha Williams
5%
Luther Campbell
4%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
2%
Mark Douglas
<1%
데비 와서먼 슐츠 66%
Elijah Manley 40%
Rudy Moise 29.3%
Dale Holness 9.8%
데비 와서먼 슐츠
50%
Elijah Manley
40%
Rudy Moise
29%
Dale Holness
10%
Maisha Williams
5%
Luther Campbell
4%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
2%
Mark Douglas
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Redistricting that altered Florida’s 20th Congressional District boundaries prompted incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz to enter the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary, drawing opposition from multiple Black candidates who argue the move undermines historic representation in a plurality-Black electorate. Elijah Manley leads challengers in early fundraising and has coordinated with others including Maisha Williams, Dale Holness, and Luther Campbell on potential field consolidation to avoid vote-splitting. Wasserman Schultz holds a financial edge and established donor network, yet local backlash and calls for a single alternative nominee keep the race competitive. Traders price her as the narrow favorite while assigning Manley substantial odds amid these dynamics, with further candidate withdrawals or endorsements likely to shift positioning before primary day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문