**China's annual CPI inflation for 2026 is expected to remain subdued, with trader positioning centered on the 0.6–1.0% range.** Recent monthly data show headline inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July from 1.0% in June, driven by softer food prices (including ongoing pork declines from ample supply and weak demand) and moderating non-food components amid lower energy costs. Core inflation held near 0.9%, while producer prices also cooled to 3.5% in July after earlier gains tied to global commodity spikes. Weak domestic consumption, sluggish investment, and lingering property-sector pressures continue to limit broad-based price increases despite targeted policy measures such as trade-in programs and healthcare adjustments. Year-to-date averages hover around 0.9%, and most analyst projections for the full year cluster near 1.0–1.2%, consistent with the market's leading outcome. Easing global energy prices following the resolution of Middle East supply concerns have further reduced upward pressure, while base effects and subdued demand are expected to keep readings in the low-single-digit range through year-end. Upcoming fiscal spending may provide marginal support later in the period, but current momentum points to contained inflation overall.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 53%
0.1 – 0.5% 32.4%
1.1 – 1.5% 13%
2.0-2.4% 4.0%
$81,248 Vol.
$81,248 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
32%
0.6 – 1.0%
53%
1.1 – 1.5%
13%
1.6 – 2.0%
2%
2.0-2.4%
4%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 53%
0.1 – 0.5% 32.4%
1.1 – 1.5% 13%
2.0-2.4% 4.0%
$81,248 Vol.
$81,248 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
$20,082 Vol.
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,434 Vol.
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,854 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$6,290 Vol.
32%
0.6 – 1.0%
$12,493 Vol.
53%
1.1 – 1.5%
$15,789 Vol.
13%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,719 Vol.
2%
2.0-2.4%
$8,137 Vol.
4%
2.5%+
$3,451 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/**China's annual CPI inflation for 2026 is expected to remain subdued, with trader positioning centered on the 0.6–1.0% range.** Recent monthly data show headline inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July from 1.0% in June, driven by softer food prices (including ongoing pork declines from ample supply and weak demand) and moderating non-food components amid lower energy costs. Core inflation held near 0.9%, while producer prices also cooled to 3.5% in July after earlier gains tied to global commodity spikes.
Weak domestic consumption, sluggish investment, and lingering property-sector pressures continue to limit broad-based price increases despite targeted policy measures such as trade-in programs and healthcare adjustments. Year-to-date averages hover around 0.9%, and most analyst projections for the full year cluster near 1.0–1.2%, consistent with the market's leading outcome. Easing global energy prices following the resolution of Middle East supply concerns have further reduced upward pressure, while base effects and subdued demand are expected to keep readings in the low-single-digit range through year-end. Upcoming fiscal spending may provide marginal support later in the period, but current momentum points to contained inflation overall.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$81,248End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/**China's annual CPI inflation for 2026 is expected to remain subdued, with trader positioning centered on the 0.6–1.0% range.** Recent monthly data show headline inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July from 1.0% in June, driven by softer food prices (including ongoing pork declines from ample supply and weak demand) and moderating non-food components amid lower energy costs. Core inflation held near 0.9%, while producer prices also cooled to 3.5% in July after earlier gains tied to global commodity spikes.
Weak domestic consumption, sluggish investment, and lingering property-sector pressures continue to limit broad-based price increases despite targeted policy measures such as trade-in programs and healthcare adjustments. Year-to-date averages hover around 0.9%, and most analyst projections for the full year cluster near 1.0–1.2%, consistent with the market's leading outcome. Easing global energy prices following the resolution of Middle East supply concerns have further reduced upward pressure, while base effects and subdued demand are expected to keep readings in the low-single-digit range through year-end. Upcoming fiscal spending may provide marginal support later in the period, but current momentum points to contained inflation overall.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$81,248End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**China's annual CPI inflation for 2026 is expected to remain subdued, with trader positioning centered on the 0.6–1.0% range.** Recent monthly data show headline inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year in July from 1.0% in June, driven by softer food prices (including ongoing pork declines from ample supply and weak demand) and moderating non-food components amid lower energy costs. Core inflation held near 0.9%, while producer prices also cooled to 3.5% in July after earlier gains tied to global commodity spikes. Weak domestic consumption, sluggish investment, and lingering property-sector pressures continue to limit broad-based price increases despite targeted policy measures such as trade-in programs and healthcare adjustments. Year-to-date averages hover around 0.9%, and most analyst projections for the full year cluster near 1.0–1.2%, consistent with the market's leading outcome. Easing global energy prices following the resolution of Middle East supply concerns have further reduced upward pressure, while base effects and subdued demand are expected to keep readings in the low-single-digit range through year-end. Upcoming fiscal spending may provide marginal support later in the period, but current momentum points to contained inflation overall.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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