Jacqui Irwin, a Democratic state assemblymember, advanced from California’s June 2 top-two primary as the clear frontrunner in the open CA-26 seat, facing Republican Samuel Gallucci in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in its D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles—combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, anchors trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Brownley’s retirement created an open seat, but Irwin’s primary performance and the absence of competitive Republican challengers limited any shift in positioning. A Democratic victory would align with statewide patterns favoring the party in House contests. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would require unforeseen developments such as a late personal or financial issue affecting the Democratic nominee or an abrupt national political realignment within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$29,455 ปริมาณ
$29,455 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$29,455 ปริมาณ
$29,455 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,836 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$13,619 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin, a Democratic state assemblymember, advanced from California’s June 2 top-two primary as the clear frontrunner in the open CA-26 seat, facing Republican Samuel Gallucci in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in its D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles—combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, anchors trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Brownley’s retirement created an open seat, but Irwin’s primary performance and the absence of competitive Republican challengers limited any shift in positioning. A Democratic victory would align with statewide patterns favoring the party in House contests. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would require unforeseen developments such as a late personal or financial issue affecting the Democratic nominee or an abrupt national political realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,455วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin, a Democratic state assemblymember, advanced from California’s June 2 top-two primary as the clear frontrunner in the open CA-26 seat, facing Republican Samuel Gallucci in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in its D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles—combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, anchors trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Brownley’s retirement created an open seat, but Irwin’s primary performance and the absence of competitive Republican challengers limited any shift in positioning. A Democratic victory would align with statewide patterns favoring the party in House contests. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would require unforeseen developments such as a late personal or financial issue affecting the Democratic nominee or an abrupt national political realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,455วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin, a Democratic state assemblymember, advanced from California’s June 2 top-two primary as the clear frontrunner in the open CA-26 seat, facing Republican Samuel Gallucci in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in its D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles—combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, anchors trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Brownley’s retirement created an open seat, but Irwin’s primary performance and the absence of competitive Republican challengers limited any shift in positioning. A Democratic victory would align with statewide patterns favoring the party in House contests. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and would require unforeseen developments such as a late personal or financial issue affecting the Democratic nominee or an abrupt national political realignment within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย