Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district for the 2026 House election, reflected in the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, rated Solid D with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+12, combined with Amo’s prior general-election margin of 63% in 2024, underpins the current pricing. Filing deadlines have closed with limited Republican opposition centered on entrepreneur Kellie Keenan, while the September 9 primary poses no evident threat to the incumbent. Absent major developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide within the November 3 resolution window, structural factors and historical voting patterns sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$13,011 Vol.
$13,011 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,011 Vol.
$13,011 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,040 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$6,971 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district for the 2026 House election, reflected in the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, rated Solid D with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+12, combined with Amo’s prior general-election margin of 63% in 2024, underpins the current pricing. Filing deadlines have closed with limited Republican opposition centered on entrepreneur Kellie Keenan, while the September 9 primary poses no evident threat to the incumbent. Absent major developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide within the November 3 resolution window, structural factors and historical voting patterns sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$13,011End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district for the 2026 House election, reflected in the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, rated Solid D with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+12, combined with Amo’s prior general-election margin of 63% in 2024, underpins the current pricing. Filing deadlines have closed with limited Republican opposition centered on entrepreneur Kellie Keenan, while the September 9 primary poses no evident threat to the incumbent. Absent major developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide within the November 3 resolution window, structural factors and historical voting patterns sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,011End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district for the 2026 House election, reflected in the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, rated Solid D with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+12, combined with Amo’s prior general-election margin of 63% in 2024, underpins the current pricing. Filing deadlines have closed with limited Republican opposition centered on entrepreneur Kellie Keenan, while the September 9 primary poses no evident threat to the incumbent. Absent major developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide within the November 3 resolution window, structural factors and historical voting patterns sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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