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icon for ¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?

¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?

icon for ¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?

¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?

sep 30

sep 30

NUEVO
30 sep 2026
Polymarket

$243 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $4.50

$0 Vol.

49%

↑ $4.40

$0 Vol.

51%

↑ $4.30

$0 Vol.

57%

↑ $4.20

$243 Vol.

75%

↓ $4.00

$0 Vol.

53%

↓ $3.90

$0 Vol.

14%

↓ $3.70

$0 Vol.

31%

↓ $3.50

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed U.S.-Iran frictions that have pushed crude oil above $90 per barrel, represent the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. Tight distillate inventories, robust refining margins, and sustained summer demand have supported the national average, which approached record Labor Day levels around $4.03. Natural gas futures near $2.98 per MMBtu reflect separate dynamics of late-summer heat boosting power generation demand and rising LNG exports, tempered by ample storage builds. With resolution approaching the end of September, traders are monitoring potential supply disruptions, seasonal demand shifts, and any de-escalation signals that could influence crude benchmarks and refined product pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$243
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://gasprices.aaa.com/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed U.S.-Iran frictions that have pushed crude oil above $90 per barrel, represent the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. Tight distillate inventories, robust refining margins, and sustained summer demand have supported the national average, which approached record Labor Day levels around $4.03. Natural gas futures near $2.98 per MMBtu reflect separate dynamics of late-summer heat boosting power generation demand and rising LNG exports, tempered by ample storage builds. With resolution approaching the end of September, traders are monitoring potential supply disruptions, seasonal demand shifts, and any de-escalation signals that could influence crude benchmarks and refined product pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$243
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↑ $4.20" con 75%, seguido de "↑ $4.30" con 57%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 75¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?" es "↑ $4.20" con 75%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↑ $4.30" con 57%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.