**The UAE's exit effective May 1, 2026, has already occurred, and remaining OPEC members show no comparable near-term departure signals.** Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and other participants continue coordinated production adjustments through OPEC+ mechanisms, including June 2026 meetings that reaffirmed voluntary cuts and gradual supply responses to market conditions. Iraq has publicly weighed a possible exit tied to quota disputes but continues active participation and negotiations rather than formal withdrawal. No other members have issued announcements, diplomatic signals, or quota-related ultimatums that would indicate imminent departure before year-end. With roughly four months remaining in 2026 and the group focused on stabilizing output amid external pressures, trader consensus at 92.5% for no additional exit reflects the absence of fresh catalysts or member statements pointing to further attrition.