**No new country is expected to formally join the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflecting the 84% trader consensus on that outcome.** Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 following the November 2025 White House announcement, and Somaliland pledged involvement after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, but neither timeline nor any subsequent formal step aligns with an imminent addition. Recent U.S. efforts under the second Trump administration have emphasized expansion—tying potential Saudi normalization to a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement and broader post-Iran war diplomacy—yet Riyadh continues to condition any move on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state. Similar barriers, including ongoing military operations and internal political constraints, limit near-term prospects for Syria or Lebanon. With only thirty days remaining, no scheduled summits, legislative votes, or confirmed diplomatic breakthroughs fall inside the resolution window that would alter the current trader assessment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country is expected to formally join the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflecting the 84% trader consensus on that outcome.**
Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 following the November 2025 White House announcement, and Somaliland pledged involvement after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, but neither timeline nor any subsequent formal step aligns with an imminent addition. Recent U.S. efforts under the second Trump administration have emphasized expansion—tying potential Saudi normalization to a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement and broader post-Iran war diplomacy—yet Riyadh continues to condition any move on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state. Similar barriers, including ongoing military operations and internal political constraints, limit near-term prospects for Syria or Lebanon. With only thirty days remaining, no scheduled summits, legislative votes, or confirmed diplomatic breakthroughs fall inside the resolution window that would alter the current trader assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volumen
$94Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country is expected to formally join the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflecting the 84% trader consensus on that outcome.**
Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 following the November 2025 White House announcement, and Somaliland pledged involvement after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, but neither timeline nor any subsequent formal step aligns with an imminent addition. Recent U.S. efforts under the second Trump administration have emphasized expansion—tying potential Saudi normalization to a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement and broader post-Iran war diplomacy—yet Riyadh continues to condition any move on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state. Similar barriers, including ongoing military operations and internal political constraints, limit near-term prospects for Syria or Lebanon. With only thirty days remaining, no scheduled summits, legislative votes, or confirmed diplomatic breakthroughs fall inside the resolution window that would alter the current trader assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$94Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No new country is expected to formally join the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflecting the 84% trader consensus on that outcome.** Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 following the November 2025 White House announcement, and Somaliland pledged involvement after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, but neither timeline nor any subsequent formal step aligns with an imminent addition. Recent U.S. efforts under the second Trump administration have emphasized expansion—tying potential Saudi normalization to a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement and broader post-Iran war diplomacy—yet Riyadh continues to condition any move on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state. Similar barriers, including ongoing military operations and internal political constraints, limit near-term prospects for Syria or Lebanon. With only thirty days remaining, no scheduled summits, legislative votes, or confirmed diplomatic breakthroughs fall inside the resolution window that would alter the current trader assessment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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