The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among leading AI developers to deliver the most capable autonomous agents by late November. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others are advancing large language model-based systems that integrate tool use, planning, and multi-step reasoning, yet no single player has demonstrated consistent superiority in benchmarks or real-world reliability. Recent model releases and internal progress reports have kept sentiment balanced, with traders viewing outcomes as fluid due to rapid iteration cycles and potential surprises in capability jumps. Key upcoming catalysts include developer conferences, safety evaluations, and enterprise adoption metrics that could shift positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 24%
OpenAI 24%
Z.ai 24%
SpaceXAI 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
Anthropic
24%
OpenAI
24%
Z.ai
24%
SpaceXAI
24%
Alibaba
24%
24%
Moonshot
24%
DeepSeek
24%
Xiaomi
24%
MiniMax
24%
Tencent
24%
Meta
22%
ByteDance
22%
Baidu
22%
Meituan
22%
Microsoft
22%
Amazon
16%
Mistral
14%
Nvidia
13%
Anthropic 24%
OpenAI 24%
Z.ai 24%
SpaceXAI 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
Anthropic
$39 Vol.
24%
OpenAI
$39 Vol.
24%
Z.ai
$19 Vol.
24%
SpaceXAI
$19 Vol.
24%
Alibaba
$19 Vol.
24%
$19 Vol.
24%
Moonshot
$8 Vol.
24%
DeepSeek
$8 Vol.
24%
Xiaomi
$8 Vol.
24%
MiniMax
$8 Vol.
24%
Tencent
$19 Vol.
24%
Meta
$8 Vol.
22%
ByteDance
$8 Vol.
22%
Baidu
$8 Vol.
22%
Meituan
$8 Vol.
22%
Microsoft
$8 Vol.
22%
Amazon
$8 Vol.
16%
Mistral
$8 Vol.
14%
Nvidia
$8 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among leading AI developers to deliver the most capable autonomous agents by late November. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others are advancing large language model-based systems that integrate tool use, planning, and multi-step reasoning, yet no single player has demonstrated consistent superiority in benchmarks or real-world reliability. Recent model releases and internal progress reports have kept sentiment balanced, with traders viewing outcomes as fluid due to rapid iteration cycles and potential surprises in capability jumps. Key upcoming catalysts include developer conferences, safety evaluations, and enterprise adoption metrics that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volumen
$266Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among leading AI developers to deliver the most capable autonomous agents by late November. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others are advancing large language model-based systems that integrate tool use, planning, and multi-step reasoning, yet no single player has demonstrated consistent superiority in benchmarks or real-world reliability. Recent model releases and internal progress reports have kept sentiment balanced, with traders viewing outcomes as fluid due to rapid iteration cycles and potential surprises in capability jumps. Key upcoming catalysts include developer conferences, safety evaluations, and enterprise adoption metrics that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$266Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among leading AI developers to deliver the most capable autonomous agents by late November. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others are advancing large language model-based systems that integrate tool use, planning, and multi-step reasoning, yet no single player has demonstrated consistent superiority in benchmarks or real-world reliability. Recent model releases and internal progress reports have kept sentiment balanced, with traders viewing outcomes as fluid due to rapid iteration cycles and potential surprises in capability jumps. Key upcoming catalysts include developer conferences, safety evaluations, and enterprise adoption metrics that could shift positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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