Recent rumors of internal routing tests and a possible Claude Opus 5.2 refresh, following the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, have concentrated trader attention on mid-to-late September dates. Anthropic’s recent cadence—Opus 5 arriving 24 days after Sonnet 5—combined with ongoing competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, supports expectations for a near-term update focused on coding, agentic reliability, and lighter safeguards. The tight spread across September 22–29 outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact timing, with no official announcement or model card yet, while the 10% probability assigned to no release by September 30 accounts for potential safety reviews or strategic delays typical in frontier large language model deployments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado28 de septiembre 14%
23 de septiembre 13%
24 de septiembre 12%
25 de septiembre 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
El 16 de septiembre o antes
1%
17 de septiembre
7%
18 de septiembre
6%
19 de septiembre
1%
20 de septiembre
5%
21 de septiembre
7%
22 de septiembre
10%
23 de septiembre
13%
24 de septiembre
12%
25 de septiembre
12%
26 de septiembre
5%
27 de septiembre
5%
28 de septiembre
14%
29 de septiembre
12%
30 de septiembre
11%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre
10%
28 de septiembre 14%
23 de septiembre 13%
24 de septiembre 12%
25 de septiembre 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
El 16 de septiembre o antes
$149 Vol.
1%
17 de septiembre
$397 Vol.
7%
18 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
6%
19 de septiembre
$447 Vol.
1%
20 de septiembre
$468 Vol.
5%
21 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
7%
22 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
10%
23 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
13%
24 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
12%
25 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
12%
26 de septiembre
$447 Vol.
5%
27 de septiembre
$447 Vol.
5%
28 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
14%
29 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
12%
30 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
11%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent rumors of internal routing tests and a possible Claude Opus 5.2 refresh, following the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, have concentrated trader attention on mid-to-late September dates. Anthropic’s recent cadence—Opus 5 arriving 24 days after Sonnet 5—combined with ongoing competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, supports expectations for a near-term update focused on coding, agentic reliability, and lighter safeguards. The tight spread across September 22–29 outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact timing, with no official announcement or model card yet, while the 10% probability assigned to no release by September 30 accounts for potential safety reviews or strategic delays typical in frontier large language model deployments.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Volumen
$2,354Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent rumors of internal routing tests and a possible Claude Opus 5.2 refresh, following the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, have concentrated trader attention on mid-to-late September dates. Anthropic’s recent cadence—Opus 5 arriving 24 days after Sonnet 5—combined with ongoing competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, supports expectations for a near-term update focused on coding, agentic reliability, and lighter safeguards. The tight spread across September 22–29 outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact timing, with no official announcement or model card yet, while the 10% probability assigned to no release by September 30 accounts for potential safety reviews or strategic delays typical in frontier large language model deployments.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,354Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rumors of internal routing tests and a possible Claude Opus 5.2 refresh, following the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, have concentrated trader attention on mid-to-late September dates. Anthropic’s recent cadence—Opus 5 arriving 24 days after Sonnet 5—combined with ongoing competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, supports expectations for a near-term update focused on coding, agentic reliability, and lighter safeguards. The tight spread across September 22–29 outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact timing, with no official announcement or model card yet, while the 10% probability assigned to no release by September 30 accounts for potential safety reviews or strategic delays typical in frontier large language model deployments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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