Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4/5 variants currently anchor the top of the Text Arena math leaderboard through superior chain-of-thought reasoning on competition problems, leaving Google as the primary contender for second place with Gemini 3.x models posting competitive Elo ratings near 1522. Trader consensus around 38% implied probability for Google reflects recent Gemini flash and pro updates that narrowed gaps on math-specific votes, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series trails at roughly 29.5% due to stronger results on pure benchmarks like FrontierMath than on human-preference arena tasks. DeepSeek, Z.ai, and Moonshot models add pressure through efficient open-weight releases that challenge closed labs on specific math subsets. Upcoming model drops and continued arena voting through November will likely determine whether Google's multimodal scaling or OpenAI's research-level math focus shifts the ordering before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSpaceXAI 21%
DeepSeek 17%
Microsoft 16%
Google 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
SpaceXAI
21%
DeepSeek
17%
Microsoft
16%
16%
OpenAI
15%
Nvidia
14%
ByteDance
14%
Mistral
14%
Meituan
14%
MiniMax
14%
Meta
13%
Amazon
13%
Thinky
13%
Anthropic
13%
Alibaba
13%
Xiaomi
12%
Z.ai
11%
StepFun
10%
Baidu
8%
Tencent
7%
Moonshot
46%
SpaceXAI 21%
DeepSeek 17%
Microsoft 16%
Google 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
21%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
17%
Microsoft
$44 Vol.
16%
$0 Vol.
16%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
15%
Nvidia
$0 Vol.
14%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
14%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
14%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
14%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
14%
Meta
$0 Vol.
13%
Amazon
$0 Vol.
13%
Thinky
$0 Vol.
13%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
13%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
13%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
12%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
11%
StepFun
$0 Vol.
10%
Baidu
$0 Vol.
8%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
7%
Moonshot
$45 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4/5 variants currently anchor the top of the Text Arena math leaderboard through superior chain-of-thought reasoning on competition problems, leaving Google as the primary contender for second place with Gemini 3.x models posting competitive Elo ratings near 1522. Trader consensus around 38% implied probability for Google reflects recent Gemini flash and pro updates that narrowed gaps on math-specific votes, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series trails at roughly 29.5% due to stronger results on pure benchmarks like FrontierMath than on human-preference arena tasks. DeepSeek, Z.ai, and Moonshot models add pressure through efficient open-weight releases that challenge closed labs on specific math subsets. Upcoming model drops and continued arena voting through November will likely determine whether Google's multimodal scaling or OpenAI's research-level math focus shifts the ordering before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volumen
$89Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4/5 variants currently anchor the top of the Text Arena math leaderboard through superior chain-of-thought reasoning on competition problems, leaving Google as the primary contender for second place with Gemini 3.x models posting competitive Elo ratings near 1522. Trader consensus around 38% implied probability for Google reflects recent Gemini flash and pro updates that narrowed gaps on math-specific votes, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series trails at roughly 29.5% due to stronger results on pure benchmarks like FrontierMath than on human-preference arena tasks. DeepSeek, Z.ai, and Moonshot models add pressure through efficient open-weight releases that challenge closed labs on specific math subsets. Upcoming model drops and continued arena voting through November will likely determine whether Google's multimodal scaling or OpenAI's research-level math focus shifts the ordering before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$89Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4/5 variants currently anchor the top of the Text Arena math leaderboard through superior chain-of-thought reasoning on competition problems, leaving Google as the primary contender for second place with Gemini 3.x models posting competitive Elo ratings near 1522. Trader consensus around 38% implied probability for Google reflects recent Gemini flash and pro updates that narrowed gaps on math-specific votes, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series trails at roughly 29.5% due to stronger results on pure benchmarks like FrontierMath than on human-preference arena tasks. DeepSeek, Z.ai, and Moonshot models add pressure through efficient open-weight releases that challenge closed labs on specific math subsets. Upcoming model drops and continued arena voting through November will likely determine whether Google's multimodal scaling or OpenAI's research-level math focus shifts the ordering before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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