Recent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wellington el 26 de agosto?
12°C 36%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
14°C 26%
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
8%
10°C
13%
11°C
27%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C o más
2%
12°C 36%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
14°C 26%
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
8%
10°C
13%
11°C
27%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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