Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–31°C in Hong Kong on August 25, shaped by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that typically limits peak heating. This aligns with Hong Kong Observatory climatology showing late-August maxima clustered between 31–33°C and the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October. Minor model spread around cloud cover and convective timing explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes, with updates from the Observatory’s daily guidance expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 25 de agosto?
31°C 32%
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
25%
31°C
32%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 32%
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
25°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
2%
28°C
$88 Vol.
6%
29°C
$53 Vol.
13%
30°C
$65 Vol.
25%
31°C
$70 Vol.
32%
32°C
$269 Vol.
23%
33°C
$329 Vol.
6%
34°C
$122 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$145 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–31°C in Hong Kong on August 25, shaped by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that typically limits peak heating. This aligns with Hong Kong Observatory climatology showing late-August maxima clustered between 31–33°C and the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October. Minor model spread around cloud cover and convective timing explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes, with updates from the Observatory’s daily guidance expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,206Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–31°C in Hong Kong on August 25, shaped by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that typically limits peak heating. This aligns with Hong Kong Observatory climatology showing late-August maxima clustered between 31–33°C and the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October. Minor model spread around cloud cover and convective timing explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes, with updates from the Observatory’s daily guidance expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,206Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a likely daily maximum of 30–31°C in Hong Kong on August 25, shaped by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that typically limits peak heating. This aligns with Hong Kong Observatory climatology showing late-August maxima clustered between 31–33°C and the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October. Minor model spread around cloud cover and convective timing explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes, with updates from the Observatory’s daily guidance expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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