Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 21 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 21 de agosto?
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$251,181 Vol.
$251,181 Vol.
21 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$251,181 Vol.
$251,181 Vol.
21 ago 2026
24°C or below
$1,765 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$802 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,672 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18,946 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$45,057 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30,247 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$28,655 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$50,089 Vol.
100%
32°C
$36,933 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$23,046 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$13,968 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$251,181Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$251,181Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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