Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers indicates Munich's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 23–24°C, aligning with the climatological August average high of 23.4°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Stable high pressure and limited insolation from cloud cover are suppressing stronger daytime warming, while light winds prevent significant advection of warmer air. Current ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 25°C or falling below 22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those central outcomes. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any late adjustments in model runs or unexpected clearing potentially shifting the exact maximum within the narrow forecast range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 24 de agosto?
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
26%
24°C
40%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
18°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$27 Vol.
1%
21°C
$258 Vol.
3%
22°C
$1,132 Vol.
14%
23°C
$4,437 Vol.
26%
24°C
$519 Vol.
40%
25°C
$1,055 Vol.
10%
26°C
$149 Vol.
2%
27°C
$46 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$361 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers indicates Munich's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 23–24°C, aligning with the climatological August average high of 23.4°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Stable high pressure and limited insolation from cloud cover are suppressing stronger daytime warming, while light winds prevent significant advection of warmer air. Current ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 25°C or falling below 22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those central outcomes. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any late adjustments in model runs or unexpected clearing potentially shifting the exact maximum within the narrow forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,238Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers indicates Munich's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 23–24°C, aligning with the climatological August average high of 23.4°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Stable high pressure and limited insolation from cloud cover are suppressing stronger daytime warming, while light winds prevent significant advection of warmer air. Current ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 25°C or falling below 22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those central outcomes. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any late adjustments in model runs or unexpected clearing potentially shifting the exact maximum within the narrow forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,238Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers indicates Munich's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 23–24°C, aligning with the climatological August average high of 23.4°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Stable high pressure and limited insolation from cloud cover are suppressing stronger daytime warming, while light winds prevent significant advection of warmer air. Current ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 25°C or falling below 22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those central outcomes. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any late adjustments in model runs or unexpected clearing potentially shifting the exact maximum within the narrow forecast range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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